| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 95+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many regular-season wins Arizona's professional baseball team will record this season; it matters because win totals summarize team performance, inform postseason chances, and are a common benchmark for roster and management evaluations.
Arizona's primary pro club competes in Major League Baseball and has cycled through competitive windows, rebuilds, and playoff runs in recent years; season outlooks hinge on offseason roster moves, health, and division strength. Market interest aggregates public and professional views about how those factors will translate into wins over the full regular season.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders about the team’s final regular-season win total and will move as news (injuries, trades, lineup changes, schedule effects) arrives. Treat prices as real-time consensus signals rather than guarantees; resolution follows the market's published settlement rules tied to official MLB statistics.
The market offers seven mutually exclusive outcomes that together cover all possible regular-season win totals for Arizona’s pro team; each outcome corresponds to a particular win total or range and only one will settle true based on the team’s official MLB regular-season record at season end.
The market close is listed as TBD; the winning outcome is determined after the conclusion of the official MLB regular season using the league’s published standings and statistics, subject to the market’s settlement rules.
Major injuries, impactful trades, or the promotion of high-leverage prospects typically prompt rapid price adjustments as participants revise expectations; the market assimilates new information continuously, so timing of news relative to trading activity matters.
This market settles on official MLB regular-season wins as reported by the league; postseason games do not count. If an extra game is officially designated as a regular-season contest by MLB, it would be included per the market’s settlement rules.
Historical records, run differentials, and recent trends provide a baseline expectation and context for team strength, but they should be combined with current-season inputs—roster changes, injuries, and schedule—to form a forward-looking view; markets price future-facing information, not just past results.