| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto wins by over 2.5 goals | 54% | 16¢ | 21¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| Anaheim wins by over 1.5 goals | 32% | 28¢ | 32¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins by over 1.5 goals | 27% | 27¢ | 31¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Anaheim wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 17¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread-range outcome will occur in the Anaheim at Toronto game; it matters because spreads capture expectations about margin of victory and are sensitive to late roster and matchup news.
Anaheim and Toronto are NHL clubs with different season trajectories, roster depth, and home/away dynamics; Toronto plays at home which historically affects puck-drop advantages while Anaheim faces travel and lineup decisions. Short-term context — starting goalies, recent form, injuries, and schedule density — often matters more than long-term history for a single-game spread.
Prices in a spread market represent the market consensus about which margin-range will occur and will move as new information (starting goalies, injuries, scratches, weather or travel disruptions) arrives. Treat market prices as indicators of collective expectations, not guarantees of the final result.
The market is split into four mutually exclusive margin-range outcomes that cover different possible victory margins for Anaheim or Toronto; the exact numeric ranges are set by the market listing and determine which outcome resolves based on the final game margin.
The listed close time is TBD; typically spread markets close shortly before puck drop or when the starting lineup/goalie information is finalized — check the KALSHI event page for the official closing timestamp once it is posted.
Settlement will follow the event rules on the KALSHI page; verify whether the spread uses regulation-only scoring or includes overtime/shootout results, because that rule determines which margin is used to pick the winning outcome.
Confirmed starting goaltenders, late scratches to top-line forwards or top-pair defensemen, announced coaching or tactical changes, and sudden injury reports or illness alerts are the primary items that typically cause noticeable price movement.
Head-to-head history provides background context but is less predictive than recent form, current roster composition, and goalie matchups; give more weight to same-season meetings and last several games when evaluating this single-game spread.