| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA Ducks | 52% | 51¢ | 52¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| TOR Maple Leafs | 49% | 49¢ | 51¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
This market asks which side will win the sporting contest titled "Anaheim at Toronto." It matters because the market aggregates public information about the matchup and moves as news (lineups, injuries, weather) becomes available.
Anaheim and Toronto represent the visiting and home teams in a scheduled professional sporting contest; historical head-to-head records, recent form, and roster availability are typical background considerations. Home venue, travel schedules, and timing within the season (early, mid, late, playoffs) influence team preparation and stakes for the game.
Market prices reflect the aggregated expectations of traders given available information; interpret them as a real-time consensus view that updates when new information arrives, not as guarantees of an outcome.
Settlement follows the event resolution rules posted on the platform; typically the contract settles to the officially recorded winner of the game as defined by the league and the market's resolution text. Always check the event rules on KALSHI for the precise settlement condition.
The event page currently lists the close as TBD. Common practice is to lock trading at the scheduled official start time or when the game is declared underway; check the event page for the final lock time before placing trades.
Whether extra periods count depends on the market's settlement rules. Many markets specify that the official final result (including overtime/extra innings/shootouts) determines the winner, but you should confirm the specific rule on the event page.
Very important — starting pitchers or goalies and final lineups materially change expected outcomes and often move market prices when announced. Monitor official lineup windows and last-minute injury reports up to the market lock.
Low total volume indicates limited liquidity, so prices may be more volatile and a single trade can move the market; consider potential slippage, position size relative to market depth, and the risk that price may not reflect broad consensus.