| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Landaluce | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| Alexander Blockx | 21% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $42 | Trade → |
This market asks which player, Alexander Blockx or Martin Landaluce, will win the first set of their match. The first set often sets momentum for the rest of the match and is a common focus for in-play trading and hedging.
Blockx and Landaluce are emerging professional players with different development paths and playing styles; their matches can hinge on how those styles interact on the chosen surface. Head-to-head history between them may be thin, so recent form, match fitness, and adaptation to conditions typically carry extra weight for this matchup.
Market prices reflect the collective, real-time view of traders and update as new information arrives (injuries, warm-ups, weather, lineup confirmations). Use price movement to track how specific developments change expectations rather than treating a price as an absolute prediction.
The close time is listed as TBD on the event; typically these markets close at or shortly before the first ball of the set. Check the KALSHI event page for the final scheduled close.
This market settles on which player wins the first completed set: either Blockx or Landaluce. If the first set is not completed (no-play, abandonment before conclusion), settlement follows KALSHI's event resolution policy—consult the platform rules for specifics.
Head-to-head results can show matchup tendencies but are often a small sample; their relevance depends on how recent those matches were and whether they were played on the same surface and under similar conditions.
Warm-up performance, injury or withdrawal reports, confirmed surface and court speed, weather for outdoor matches, and official order-of-play or scheduling updates are the most common drivers of price movement.
Settlement follows KALSHI's stated rules: if a first set is not completed due to retirement or match abandonment, the platform's resolution procedure applies. Review the event page or KALSHI terms for the exact handling of retirements and cancellations.