| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen -7.5 games | 1% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| Taylor Fritz -3.5 games | 54% | 35¢ | 54¢ | — | $23 | Trade → |
| Taylor Fritz -7.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor Fritz -1.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Michelsen -1.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Michelsen -3.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Michelsen -5.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor Fritz -5.5 games | 0% | 0¢ | 74¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders bet on the game-margin outcome between Alex Michelsen and Taylor Fritz — which player wins and by how many games. Game-spread markets matter because they focus on match competitiveness, not just the match winner.
Taylor Fritz is an experienced ATP tour player known for a big serve and aggressive baseline game, while Alex Michelsen is a younger, rising American with heavy groundstrokes and improving consistency. Surface, tournament stage, and recent match load can shift expected game margins: a fast court usually favors big servers, while slower conditions favor baseliners who construct points.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective expectations about the final game margin between the two players and will move as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, live scoring). Interpret prices as a snapshot of market consensus at any moment rather than a fixed forecast.
They partition possible final game-margin outcomes into distinct buckets (ranges of games by which one player wins or specific spread categories). Check the market page for the exact bucket definitions used for this event.
The market close time is listed as TBD; typically the market will close at the time specified on the event page or immediately before the match start. Monitor the market page for the final closing timestamp and any updates.
Resolution follows the official match score as posted by the tournament organizer — the final game totals determine which spread bucket wins. Special situations (retirements, walkovers, or matches not started) are resolved according to the platform’s published settlement rules, so consult those rules for this event.
Experience can matter in closing out tight sets and winning tiebreaks, which affects narrow spreads; youth can bring unpredictable aggression and rapid improvement. Compare recent head-to-head patterns, how each performs late in matches, and surface-specific success to judge how those traits map onto game margins.
Key items: confirmed playing surface, official start time, recent match scores and durations, any injury or withdrawal notices, recent match load and travel, head-to-head and surface-specific records, weather or indoor factors, and live scoring if the market allows trading after start.