| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aleksandar Vukic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will win the first set in the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Rafael Jodar; it matters for short-term traders and fans who want to express views on immediate in-match dynamics.
Set-level markets focus on the opening phase of a match, where serving, early nerves, and initial tactical choices often decide the outcome. Factors such as each player's recent form on the tournament surface, match fitness, and any head-to-head history will shape expectations heading into the first set.
Market odds aggregate traders' information and adjust as new news arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, live scoring). Use odds movements and orderbook depth to read how fresh information is being priced rather than as fixed forecasts.
The market’s close is listed as TBD; many set-level markets close at match start or when the platform sets a closure time. Check the market page and KALSHI’s official notices for the final close time.
Settlement follows the tournament’s official score: the player recorded as winning the first set after the tiebreak is the settled winner for this market.
If the first set is not completed, settlement depends on KALSHI’s market rules and any specific market terms—markets are commonly voided or suspended until an official decision is issued. Check the market’s settlement policy for details.
The market is settled according to the tournament’s official match record: if the official score records a winner for set 1, that player is used. If no official first-set result is recorded, settlement will follow the platform’s stated policy.
Watch recent set-level performance on the same surface, serving effectiveness (hold rates and ace/DF patterns), return and break-point stats, any recent injury or withdrawal notices, and direct head-to-head results if they exist.