| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 20.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market lets traders take positions on the first-half point spread between Alabama and Michigan; it matters because first-half outcomes reflect immediate game dynamics and offer a distinct trading horizon from full-game markets.
Alabama and Michigan are nationally prominent programs with different offensive and defensive tendencies; first-half performance can be shaped by opening game plans, starting personnel, and early situational play-calling. Because this market is limited to the first 30 minutes of play, factors like opening tempo, scripted drives, and special teams have outsized influence compared with late-game adjustments.
Market prices represent collective expectations about the halftime point differential; a chosen outcome resolves based on the official halftime score and the spread condition tied to that outcome. Traders should interpret prices as the market's consensus view of first-half margin, not a guarantee of any single result.
The event currently lists 'Closes: TBD'; typically the market will set a final close time before game kickoff and may close at or shortly before kickoff—check the KALSHI platform for the confirmed close time.
Resolution is based on the official halftime score: the point differential at halftime is compared to each outcome's spread condition and the matching outcome settles as the winner. Consult KALSHI's resolution policy for tie/push handling details.
Announcements about starters, scratches, or key injuries can materially shift expectations for the first half, and active traders typically reprioritize positions ahead of kickoff in response to that information.
No—this market resolves strictly on the official halftime score, so overtime and second-half events do not affect the outcome; if the game is shortened or not completed, resolution follows KALSHI's event rules.
If delayed, the market may remain open until a new close time is set or be paused; if postponed or canceled, resolution and any refunds will follow KALSHI's published contingency and cancellation rules—check the platform for specifics.