| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cal Raleigh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Julio Rodríguez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nick Kurtz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| José Ramírez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Roman Anthony | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Junior Caminero | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Alonso | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jeremy Peña | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yordan Álvarez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Corey Seager | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carlos Correa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cody Bellinger | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zach Neto | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wyatt Langford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Byron Buxton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alejandro Kirk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Adley Rutschman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jo Adell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tarik Skubal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Garrett Crochet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Riley Greene | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Wilson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jackson Holliday | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Maikel García | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Naylor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mike Trout | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jose Altuve | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Steven Kwan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yandy Diaz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| George Springer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jarren Duran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ben Rice | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Randy Arozarena | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trevor Story | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daulton Varsho | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brent Rooker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colson Montgomery | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie/Co-Winners | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will be named the American League Most Valuable Player (AL MVP). It matters because it aggregates public expectations about who will receive the official award based on season-long performance and narrative.
The AL MVP is an annual award historically decided by the Baseball Writers' Association of America and announced after the regular season; voters consider offensive production, defense, and a player's contribution to team success. Over time, voters' emphasis has shifted between raw counting stats, rate metrics, defensive value, and storyline factors, so markets reflect both measurable performance and evolving narratives. This KALSHI market lists multiple named outcomes and will track how collective expectations change as the season progresses.
Market prices (odds) summarize how traders collectively view each candidate's chances and will move as new information arrives. Use them as a real-time consensus signal about expectations, not as a guarantee of the official outcome.
The market's close is listed as TBD on the event page; settlement will follow the contract's stated rules, which typically reference the official MLB/BBWAA AL MVP announcement made after the regular season. Check the market description for the exchange's specific settlement timing and policies.
Each outcome represents a particular named player eligible to win the AL MVP as listed by the market; some markets also include catch-all options (check the contract). Only the outcome that matches the official, final AL MVP announcement will be declared the winner for settlement.
Settlement depends on the market's contract language and the exchange's policies; commonly, exchanges follow the official announcement and may declare multiple winning outcomes if the award is officially shared. If the contract is ambiguous, refer to the exchange's published dispute or settlement rules.
Those events can materially change expected playing time and counting stats, so markets typically react quickly to confirmed injury reports, roster moves, and playing-time updates. Uncertainty around recovery timelines or role changes increases volatility and can widen disagreement among traders.
Key drivers include box-score performance, advanced stat reports, official injury updates, lineup announcements, national media narratives, and any credible reports about voters' intentions or early voting leaks. Monitor both on-field data and reliable news sources for changes that will influence market expectations.