| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Garrett Crochet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Degrom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cole Ragans | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hunter Brown | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Max Fried | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bryan Woo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Gilbert | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carlos Rodon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dylan Cease | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| George Kirby | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gavin Williams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Ryan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Gausman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ranger Suarez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trevor Rogers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kyle Bradish | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MacKenzie Gore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pablo Lopez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sonny Gray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trey Yesavage | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luis Castillo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cam Schlittler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jack Flaherty | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jose Soriano | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shane Bieber | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shane McClanahan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tanner Bibee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drew Rasmussen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Grayson Rodriguez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kris Bubic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brayan Bello | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bryce Miller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Casey Mize | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gerrit Cole | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Luis Gil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aroldis Chapman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Wacha | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie/Co-Winners | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which pitcher will be named the American League Cy Young Award winner; it matters because the Cy Young is the premier single-season pitching honor and a focus of season-long performance evaluation.
The AL Cy Young is awarded annually based on voting by members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America, with ballots reflecting regular-season performance and the official winner typically announced in the postseason/offseason. This KALSHI market lists many candidate outcomes so traders can express expectations about which individual pitcher will receive the award. Volume and activity on the market aggregate real-time views about how the season is unfolding for AL pitchers.
Market prices represent traders' consensus expectations about which listed outcome will be declared the official AL Cy Young winner; price movements reflect new information such as performance, injuries, and changing voter narratives.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event page; settlement typically occurs after the official AL Cy Young winner is announced by the recognized awarding body — check the market's contract terms on the event page for the exact settlement trigger and timing.
Most markets like this settle to the official announcement designated in the contract (usually the award announcement from the recognized awarding authority); verify the event's settlement source in the market rules on the KALSHI page.
Outcomes typically consist of individually named AL pitchers plus any 'Other' or contingency outcomes; if the official winner is not a listed name, the contract's specified fallback outcome (for example 'Other') or error-resolution procedure will apply — check the outcomes list and contract text for details.
Traders will update prices to reflect injuries or trades; eligibility and how a trade affects consideration for the AL award depend on the awarding body's criteria and the market's contract rules, so consult the event page for any specific eligibility notes.
Key movers include large changes in counting stats and rate metrics (e.g., innings pitched, strikeouts, ERA/FIP trends), major injuries or return-to-play news, role or rotation changes, All-Star recognition or other awards, and late-season narratives around frontrunners.