| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 0% | 0¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada | 0% | 92¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Air Force, Nevada, or a tie — will be leading at the end of the first half of their game. It matters for traders who want to express views about early-game advantage rather than the final outcome.
Air Force and Nevada are FBS programs with contrasting historical styles: Air Force often emphasizes a run-heavy, clock-controlling offense, while Nevada's approach has varied by coaching staff and season and can include more passing and tempo. Those stylistic differences, plus coaching decisions and turnovers, tend to shape first-half scoring patterns and the frequency of tied halftimes.
Market prices represent the collective assessment of who will be leading at halftime and update as new information arrives (injuries, starting lineups, weather, etc.). Treat prices as indicators of market sentiment, not guarantees of a specific outcome.
The market closes at the official start of the game's first half; check the KALSHI listing for the exact timestamp and any platform-specific clock rules.
An outcome is resolved by the official halftime score: 'Air Force' if Air Force leads at halftime, 'Nevada' if Nevada leads, and 'Tie' if the official scores are equal at halftime.
Resolution is based on the official halftime score as recorded by the game's governing authority; if the half is not completed, or the schedule changes, KALSHI's published resolution rules apply — consult their rulebook for contingency procedures.
Check both teams' announced starters, recent first-half scoring trends, injury reports, matchup-specific issues (e.g., Air Force's run game vs. Nevada's run defense), and any late coaching announcements that affect early-game strategy.
A $0 volume indicates no trades have been recorded yet or that reporting hasn't refreshed; volume can change as the market attracts participants, so refresh the KALSHI listing for updates.