| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada wins the 1H by over 23.5 points | 26% | 5¢ | 23¢ | — | $18 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins the 1H by over 29.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 41¢ | 62¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Air Force wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins the 1H by over 26.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins the 1H by over 20.5 points | 0% | 15¢ | 34¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 67¢ | 87¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 57¢ | 76¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 27¢ | 47¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which first-half point-differential bracket will apply at halftime of the Air Force vs Nevada college basketball game. It matters for traders who want to forecast early-game performance and exploit matchup or roster edges specific to the opening 20 minutes.
First-half spread markets isolate the opening period rather than the full game, so they emphasize starters, early-game strategies, and tempo. Air Force and Nevada bring distinct team styles and recent form into the matchup; those stylistic contrasts, along with venue and travel, typically drive first-half dynamics. Because this market uses multiple discrete outcomes, traders can express nuanced views about how big the halftime margin will be.
Market prices reflect collective trader beliefs about which bracket the halftime margin will fall into; higher-priced outcomes indicate stronger market support relative to other brackets. Use prices to gauge relative expectations, and monitor how prices move as lineups, injuries, and other information emerge.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific first-half point-differential bracket (for example, ranges favoring one team or the other). The exact bracket boundaries are shown on the market page; the outcome whose bracket contains the halftime margin is the winner.
The event page lists the close time as TBD; typically KALSHI markets close at or just before the official game start or at a time set by the exchange. Check the market page for the final closure and trading halt information.
If one of the defined outcomes explicitly covers a zero-point margin it will settle to that bracket. If not, settlement follows the market's bracket definitions and KALSHI's official rules as posted on the event page.
Late lineup changes or injury reports can materially shift first-half expectations because starters have outsized impact early. Expect market prices to move quickly as traders re-assess and incorporate confirmed team announcements.
No. First-half spread outcomes are determined by the official score at halftime only; overtime applies to full-game settlement and is not relevant to first-half markets.