| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada wins by over 10.5 Points | 85% | 77¢ | 84¢ | — | $614 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 19.5 Points | 53% | 50¢ | 54¢ | — | $476 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 22.5 Points | 44% | 43¢ | 45¢ | — | $199 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 7.5 Points | 91% | 83¢ | 90¢ | — | $127 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 8.5 Points | 89% | 83¢ | 88¢ | — | $111 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 11.5 Points | 82% | 78¢ | 82¢ | — | $102 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 20.5 Points | 50% | 47¢ | 50¢ | — | $85 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 35.5 Points | 13% | 4¢ | 12¢ | — | $18 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 13.5 Points | 77% | 69¢ | 75¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 14.5 Points | 68% | 66¢ | 73¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 60¢ | 65¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 23.5 Points | 0% | 35¢ | 41¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 56¢ | 62¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 31.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 32.5 Points | 0% | 9¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 28.5 Points | 0% | 19¢ | 27¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 87¢ | 95¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 34.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 26.5 Points | 0% | 26¢ | 31¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 87¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 25.5 Points | 0% | 29¢ | 35¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nevada wins by over 29.5 Points | 0% | 16¢ | 24¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations about the point-spread outcome for the college football game between Air Force and Nevada; spread markets matter because they aggregate information about relative team strength and game conditions into tradable outcomes.
Air Force is a service academy program known for a disciplined, run-heavy attack and time-of-possession approach, while Nevada plays at home in Reno and often factors in offensive scheme and home-field nuances. Matchup history, seasonal form, coaching strategies, travel logistics, and roster availability all feed into how bettors price the spread. The market’s 22 outcomes provide granular choices for different possible margins of victory.
Prices across the 22 spread outcomes reflect the market’s collective expectations about the likely margin of victory; compare prices and watch their movement over time to see how new information (injuries, lineups, weather, betting flow) shifts consensus.
The event currently shows a closing time of TBD; monitor the KALSHI platform for an official close time and any updates, as markets often close at or shortly before kickoff or when trading is suspended for official lineup and injury announcements.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific point-spread possibility or narrow margin range for the final result; choosing an outcome means you think the final margin will fall into that outcome’s defined range.
Material injuries or changes to projected starters (especially quarterbacks or key defenders) typically move prices across multiple spread outcomes as traders reassess each team’s win-margin prospects; official reports and practice-day updates are the most market-moving items.
Altitude, travel fatigue, and home-field familiarity can confer a modest advantage that markets incorporate into prices; consider how well Air Force handles travel and altitude in recent games and whether either team has prepared to mitigate those factors.
Late movement often signals new information (final injury reports, weather changes, or concentrated bets) being priced in; watch the market in the hours immediately before kickoff for the most rapid adjustments, and compare shifts across adjacent outcomes to gauge how consensus is changing.