| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Buffalo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cincinnati | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cleveland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Denver | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indianapolis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacksonville | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kansas City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Las Vegas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Los Angeles C | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New England | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York J | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pittsburgh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tennessee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which AFC team will emerge as the AFC Champion for the relevant season; it aggregates trader expectations about which franchise will win the conference and advance to the Super Bowl. It matters because it synthesizes real-time information about injuries, matchups, and playoff performance into a single, tradable view.
The AFC Championship is the final conference game that determines the American Football Conference’s representative in the Super Bowl; historically, certain franchises have reached this game more often, but outcomes vary year to year based on roster and playoff performance. Market prices for this event will move as the regular season progresses, the playoff bracket is set, and each postseason round is played, reflecting new information such as injuries, trades, and coaching changes.
Market odds are a snapshot of collective trader beliefs about which team will win the AFC Championship and update as new information arrives; they are not guarantees but indicators of how the market values each team’s chance at the time of trading.
Each of the 16 outcomes corresponds to one AFC franchise; the winning outcome will be the team that is officially recognized as the AFC Champion by the NFL and KALSHI’s settlement process.
'Closes: TBD' means KALSHI has not published a final trading-closure time yet; closure is generally set before or during the postseason and will be announced on the event page—monitor the page for the announced deadline and any trading halts tied to playoff scheduling.
The market will settle to the official AFC Champion as determined by the NFL; KALSHI will use the NFL’s official results (and its own published settlement rules) to declare the single winning outcome.
Regular-season results inform market views by revealing matchup advantages and team strengths, while playoff seeding determines paths and home-field assignments—both factors shift trader expectations and thus market prices as the season and playoffs progress.
Expect significant movements around the trade deadline, key injuries or returns, the end of the regular season (when seeding is locked), each playoff round (wild-card and divisional results), and immediately following the AFC Championship game itself when the winner is decided.