| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Spain | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brazil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| England | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Argentina | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Germany | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portugal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Netherlands | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Italy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Uruguay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Belgium | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| USA | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Croatia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mexico | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Denmark | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Morocco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colombia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Switzerland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Japan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Norway | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Canada | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Austria | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sweden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ecuador | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Senegal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Serbia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| South Korea | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chile | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Turkey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Poland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Paraguay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scotland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wales | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Australia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ghana | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republic of Ireland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hungary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Romania | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cameroon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tunisia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Northern Ireland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| New Zealand | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Georgia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Greece | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jordan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Egypt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Algeria | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| United Arab Emirates | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cape Verde | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Africa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Costa Rica | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Qatar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| China | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ivory Coast | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Curacao | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Peru | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Haiti | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Panama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Czechia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Congo DR | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iraq | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets participants back which national team will win the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup, aggregating expectations about a high-profile global tournament. It matters because prices react to on- and off-field developments that change perceptions of each team's chances.
The 2026 World Cup will be held across the United States, Canada, and Mexico and is the first edition using an expanded 48-team format, which increases the number of competing nations and changes tournament dynamics. The expanded field and multiple host venues alter travel, rest patterns, and qualification paths compared with prior tournaments, making pre-tournament form and squad depth especially relevant.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders and update as new information arrives—team form, injuries, the official draw, and other news all shift expectations. Use prices as a real-time summary of market sentiment, not as a guarantee of a particular outcome.
The market resolves once FIFA officially confirms the tournament champion, typically after the final match and any immediate official announcements; settlement timing follows the exchange's rules.
Each outcome typically corresponds to a named national team or an explicitly listed alternative included by the market creator; check the market page for the exact labels and any 'other' or combined options.
More teams increase variability and create more possible upsets; depth, tournament scheduling, and knockout-stage resilience matter more than in smaller tournaments, so underdog runs become more plausible and bracket placement gains importance.
Key movers include the official group-stage draw, major injuries or recoveries to star players, announcements of final squads, significant coaching changes, and team performances in high-profile friendlies or continental tournaments.
Resolution in that case depends on the specific market rules set by the exchange; typically the platform will specify how unlisted winners or ambiguous outcomes are handled—consult the market's resolution rules or help center for details.