| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ teams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2+ teams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| 3+ teams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| 4 teams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which of the tournament's #2 seeds will reach the semifinals; it matters because seeding performance is a common way to gauge tournament predictability and the likelihood of upsets.
Seed-based markets hinge on the official bracket and the tournament's progress; historically #2 seeds are among the strongest entrants but outcomes vary by sport, draw, and matchup. Different competitions (e.g., single-elimination brackets vs. multi-match series) produce different rates of higher seeds advancing, so context around the specific tournament format is important.
Market odds reflect traders' aggregated expectations about which outcome will occur and update as new information (injuries, results, lineup announcements) arrives; read prices as indicators of market consensus rather than fixed predictions.
The market's close time is listed as TBD on the event page; settlement will occur after the tournament's official semifinals field is confirmed by the event organizer, using their published results and timing rules.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific scenario defined by the market creator (for example, a particular count or combination of #2 seeds advancing); consult the market's outcome labels on the platform to see which exact scenarios are being traded and how they will be judged at settlement.
Settlement uses the official seedings published by the tournament organizer at the time specified in the market rules; if the organizer issues changes or tie-break clarifications, those official determinations are what the market will follow.
Look at past editions of the same tournament and comparable competitions in the same sport to see how often #2 seeds advanced deep into the bracket; payoff patterns differ by sport and format, so prioritize historical data from the same event and similar competitive conditions.
Key movers include game results (especially early upsets), injury reports or suspensions to top players, official lineup confirmations, and notable changes in travel or scheduling—each provides new information that traders use to update their expectations.