| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Lowry beats Clark and Fowler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rickie Fowler beats Lowry and Clark | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wyndham Clark beats Fowler and Lowry | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the three players listed — Lowry, Clark, or Fowler — will post the lowest official score in the tournament's first round. It matters because it isolates a head-to-head comparison over a single round, letting traders express views on short-term form and matchup advantages.
The "3-ball" format groups three players to play the same tee time and course conditions in the first round; these matchup markets are common in golf betting because they reduce variables compared with forecasting overall finishes. Lowry and Fowler are established tour names with notable career highlights and differing playing styles; the listed Clark is the third member of the threesome and should be verified on the tournament entry list. This market closes before the players begin their first-round play (exact close time is listed on the event page).
Market prices reflect the crowd's changing expectations about which player will shoot lowest in round one and move as new information (weather, withdrawals, practice reports) arrives. Treat odds as a summary of market sentiment and use them alongside independent information about conditions and player form.
Settlement is based on the tournament's official first-round scores as published by the event organizers; the player with the lowest official first-round score among Lowry, Clark, and Fowler wins the market.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event page; typically these markets close shortly before the threesome's first tee time. Monitor the event page for the firm close time and any schedule changes.
Tie handling follows the platform's contract and settlement rules; some contracts split payouts among tied winners or have explicit tie provisions. Check the KALSHI event contract or settlement rules for the definitive tie policy for this market.
This market covers only the first round: it is settled using the official scores from the first round alone and does not consider subsequent rounds or total tournament position.
Key updates include confirmed tee times/starting holes, weather forecasts for the specific tee window, practice-round news (how each player handled the course), late withdrawals or illness reports, and any caddie or equipment changes announced before the first round.