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1st Overall Pick: 2026 Pro Football Draft

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
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Open Interest
0
Active Markets
32
Markets
32

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All Outcomes (32)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Arizona 0%
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Atlanta 0%
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Baltimore 0%
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Buffalo 0%
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Carolina 0%
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Chicago 0%
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Cincinnati 0%
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Cleveland 0%
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Dallas 0%
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Denver 0%
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Detroit 0%
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Green Bay 0%
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Houston 0%
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Indianapolis 0%
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Jacksonville 0%
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Kansas City 0%
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Las Vegas 0%
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Los Angeles C 0%
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Los Angeles R 0%
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Miami 0%
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Minnesota 0%
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New England 0%
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New Orleans 0%
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New York G 0%
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New York J 0%
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Philadelphia 0%
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Pittsburgh 0%
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San Francisco 0%
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Seattle 0%
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Tampa Bay 0%
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Tennessee 0%
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Washington 0%
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About This Market

This market asks which listed outcome will be the 1st overall selection in the 2026 Pro Football Draft, a high-profile event that shapes team trajectories and player careers. It matters because the first pick often signals a franchise’s direction and is a focal point for betting, scouting and front-office strategy.

The 1st overall pick is determined on draft day by the team holding the top selection after the NFL offseason (including any trades). Historically, quarterbacks and elite-position prospects frequently top the board, but surprises and draft-day trades have altered expectations in prior years. Pre-draft scouting, college performance, medical reports, and front-office philosophies all feed into market expectations.

Market prices reflect the aggregate expectation of market participants about which listed outcome will be the official 1st pick; they update as new information arrives (injuries, combine results, team reports, trade rumors). Treat prices as real-time consensus signals rather than guarantees—read them alongside scouting and team news.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

When does this market resolve—at what moment is the 1st overall pick considered final for this event?

The market resolves based on the official announcement of the 1st overall selection at the 2026 Pro Football Draft (or per the exchange's published settlement rule). If the pick is traded, resolution follows the pick as officially announced by the league on draft day.

Are the listed outcomes individual players, teams, or both for the 1st Overall Pick: 2026 Pro Football Draft event?

This market’s listed outcomes correspond to the options provided on the market page (typically specific players or team-player combinations as shown by the exchange). Check the market’s outcome labels to know whether you are selecting a player name, a team with a player, or another specified outcome.

How do draft-day trades affect which outcome wins this market?

If the pick is traded before the official announcement, the market outcome is determined by the name officially announced as the 1st overall pick at the time of the draft; trades prior to announcement do not prevent resolution if the league formally declares the pick.

What kinds of news tend to move prices in this specific 1st overall pick market?

Prices react to prospect injury reports, medical clearances, standout combine/pro day results, credible reports of private team meetings, authoritative trade rumors involving the top pick, and public statements from the teams most likely to hold the pick.

If an outcome is ambiguous or a listed player withdraws after the market is created, how will the exchange handle settlement for this event?

Settlement follows the exchange’s official rules: typically the market pays out to the outcome that matches the official 1st overall pick announcement. If an outcome label is ambiguous, the exchange will publish a resolution notice explaining which outcome is considered the winner based on league records and the market’s rules.

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