| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #13 seed to win a game in the Round of 64 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether a No. 13 seed will win a game in the Round of 64 of the NCAA tournament. It matters because Round of 64 upsets shape brackets, payouts in bracket contests, and perceptions of seeding accuracy.
In NCAA men's and women's single-elimination tournaments, teams are seeded 1–16 in each region and play first-round games commonly called the Round of 64. Lower seeds such as No. 13 are generally matched against stronger opponents, but upsets by double-digit seeds occur and are a frequent source of attention and betting activity. Seeding is determined by the selection committee and reflects a mix of season results, metrics, and subjective judgment.
Market odds summarize traders’ collective view of how likely the event is to happen and will update as pregame news (injuries, matchups, starting lineups) emerges. Use the market as a dynamic indicator of changing information rather than a fixed prediction.
Usually this phrasing refers to the occurrence of at least one No. 13 seed winning a Round of 64 game across the tournament; if the market were tied to a specific team it would name that team explicitly—check the official event description for the exact scope.
Resolution is based on official NCAA game results or the tournament operator’s published box scores; the market operator specifies the exact data source and will settle the market according to those official results.
The market will resolve after the relevant Round of 64 games are completed and the official results are available; because the close time is listed as TBD, check the event page for updates on the exact closing and settlement timeline.
Late-breaking availability news can materially change the expected competitiveness of a No. 13 seed: loss of a starter or key bench contributor reduces upset potential, while an opponent missing key personnel increases it—markets typically adjust quickly when such news is confirmed.
Historically, lower seeds sometimes pull first-round upsets; factors to examine include conference strength, nonconference schedule, margin of victory trends, and whether the No. 13 team matches up stylistically with its opponent—use historical context to inform but not determine expectations for any single tournament.