| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ 1+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| 2+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3+ wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4 wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market concerns whether #12-seeded teams will record wins in the Round of 64 of the NCAA men's or women's tournament; it matters because 12-over-5 outcomes are frequent upset focal points that influence brackets and payouts.
Historically, 12-seed victories over 5-seeds are among the most talked-about first-round upsets and occur often enough to be a recurring storyline in tournament coverage. Outcomes depend on matchup quality, conference strength, and single-game variance inherent to tournament play.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about the number or occurrence of #12-seed wins and will move as new information (injuries, lineups, matchups) arrives; treat prices as a consensus signal rather than a guaranteed prediction.
Resolution occurs after the official completion and certification of the Round of 64 games covered by the market; the operator will use tournament results as reported by official sources and follow posted rules for timing and finalization.
Outcome definitions depend on the specific market question wording (for example, 'at least one #12 win' vs. 'number of #12 wins'); consult the market’s outcome descriptions to know which game results are counted and how they map to outcomes.
If a game is postponed, canceled, or otherwise not completed, the market operator’s rules determine resolution—common approaches include waiting for official completion, voiding affected selections, or using certified official results; check the market’s rules for contingency handling.
Late injury reports, announced suspensions, changes to starting lineups, travel or illness issues, and key matchups revealed by advanced scouting (e.g., a vulnerable interior defense or poor three-point shooting matchup) typically cause the largest reassessments.
Yes—historical upset frequency provides context but should be combined with current-season metrics, matchup details, and availability information, since past patterns alone don’t determine any single tournament’s results.