| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ 1+ teams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| 2+ teams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3+ teams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4 teams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which of the tournament's #1 seeds will advance to the semifinal round; it matters because top seeds are expected to perform well and their progress shapes both competitive narratives and betting liquidity. Market prices provide a real-time consensus view of how likely different semifinal outcomes are viewed by traders.
Top seeds are the highest-ranked teams entering a knockout tournament and are typically matched to face lower-ranked opponents in early rounds; their advancement to the semifinals is often taken as a signal of bracket integrity and seeding accuracy. Across sports and tournaments, #1 seeds usually receive extra attention from media and bettors, but single-game variability, matchup styles, and injuries mean upsets are always possible.
Prediction market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants and update as new information arrives (results, injuries, lineup changes). Treat prices as a snapshot of market consensus rather than fixed forecasts; they will move as games are played and news breaks.
Settlement is based on the official tournament record: a #1 seed is considered to have reached the semifinals if it is one of the four teams officially listed as semifinal participants by the tournament organizer at the conclusion of the quarterfinal round.
The market's close time is set by the exchange (check the market page for updates). Final settlement occurs after the tournament organizer confirms the semifinalists and results are official; exchanges typically publish a settlement time or window.
All designated #1 seeds in the tournament bracket are counted individually; each is evaluated on whether it appears among the official semifinalists regardless of region or conference.
Yes — the market follows the tournament's official rulings. If games are cancelled or decided by forfeit or tie-breakers, settlement will reflect the official semifinal participants as declared by the organizer and the exchange’s published rules.
Key items include injury reports and lineup confirmations, game results and box scores, matchup analytics (e.g., pace, defensive metrics), travel/rest schedules, and credible coaching or roster announcements; each can change the expected path for top seeds.