| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ohio St. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Georgia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alabama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miami (FL) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Notre Dame | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas A&M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| LSU | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oklahoma | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Texas Tech | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market settles on which college football team will be listed as the #1 team in the Associated Press (AP) Poll for Week 1. Week 1 AP rankings capture early-season expectations and shape narratives for the entire season.
The AP Poll is a weekly ranking compiled from votes by sportswriters and broadcasters; the Week 1 poll is the first in-season snapshot after opening weekend and may reflect preseason sentiment plus any results or news from the first games. Historically, preseason rankings, returning quarterbacks, transfer activity, and early-weekend results all influence the Week 1 order; the AP’s timing and voter habits determine the official listing.
Market prices are a live, aggregated expression of traders’ expectations about which team the AP will name #1 in Week 1 and will move as news arrives. Use them as a real-time gauge of sentiment, but cross-check with official AP publications and the market’s resolution rules for final determination.
The market resolves to the team listed as #1 in the Associated Press’ official Week 1 poll as published by the AP; the market operator will use the AP’s published poll and the operator’s resolution rules to determine the winning outcome. The market’s close time is listed as TBD on the market page, so check that page for the specific resolution timestamp.
Yes: the AP Week 1 poll refers to the first in-season poll issued after the opening-week games. Exact publication timing follows the AP’s schedule, so the market defers to the AP’s official Week 1 release for resolution.
If the AP’s #1 team is not listed among the market’s specified outcomes, resolution follows the market’s fallback rules (for example, an 'Other' outcome if provided) or the operator’s stated procedures. Always verify the market’s outcome list and rules on the event page before trading.
Key movers include opening-week game results (upsets or dominant performances), late injuries to starting players, announced opt-outs or transfers, suspensions, and major coaching or staff announcements; each can rapidly shift voter sentiment before the poll is published.
Preseason #1s often remain near the top heading into Week 1, but they are not guaranteed to retain the top spot — early losses, poor performances, or significant roster news can change voter rankings quickly. Historical outcomes vary, so evaluate current-season developments rather than relying solely on preseason placement.