| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Garrett Nussmeier | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| LaNorris Sellers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Drew Allar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cade Klubnik | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sam Leavitt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Keldric Faulk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| T.J. Parker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kadyn Proctor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fernando Mendoza | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miller Moss | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Caleb Downs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Francis Mauigoa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Mateer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Carson Beck | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Caleb Lomu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aidan Chiles | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jayden Maiava | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kyron Drones | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jalon Daniels | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jordyn Tyson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nico Iamaleava | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ty Simpson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jermaine Matthews Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Anthony Hill Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jyaire Hill | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Raylen Wilson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Malik Muhammed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylen Green | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Conner Weigman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Carnell Tate | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nicholas Singleton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Spencer Fano | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zachariah Branch | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kaytron Allen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dante Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Gennings Dunker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Makhi Hughes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Noah Fifita | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Diego Pavia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kaidon Salter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arvell Reese | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Antonio Williams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Makai Lemon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Germie Bernard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jeremiyah Love | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which player will be selected with the #1 overall pick in the 2026 draft. It matters because the top pick can reshape a franchise's direction and is a focal point for scouts, teams, and bettors.
Historically the #1 pick is decided by a combination of draft order (lotteries, standings, or trades) and teams' willingness to select a particular prospect; some years a consensus prospect emerges, other years the choice is more situational. For 2026, college seasons, international performance, injuries, early-entry decisions, and front-office personnel moves will all shape the pool of candidates over the coming months.
Market prices on this event represent the collective view of participants about which named outcome is most likely to be announced as the #1 pick; they update in real time with news but are not guarantees. Use price movement as a real-time signal that reflects new information (injuries, combines, trade rumors, etc.).
The market will resolve to the player officially announced as the #1 overall pick according to the league’s official draft result; resolution timing is tied to the official draft announcement. Because the market close is listed as TBD, check the market page and exchange rules for exact settlement timing and announced sources.
Resolution is based on who is officially drafted first overall, regardless of which team makes the selection after any trades; the trade itself does not change which named outcome resolves.
Public news of withdrawals or ineligibility will typically move market prices as participants update expectations; the market will still only resolve to the player who is officially selected first overall on draft night. Check the exchange’s rules for whether outcomes can be removed or amended.
Authoritative resolution generally uses the league’s official draft announcement or an official league press release/scoreboard cited in the market rules; consult the event’s resolution criteria on the market page to see the exact accepted sources.
The event lists many eligible prospects and possible longshots to reflect the range of candidates who could plausibly be selected first. Evaluate outcomes by tracking prospect performance, medical and interview reports, team needs and draft position, and by following credible mock drafts and team-level reporting; monitor news that affects frontrunners rather than relying on any single early projection.