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691 active events
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Event
Probability
Volume
24h Vol
Markets
Closes
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
Yes
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2
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Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?
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3
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Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
Yes
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2
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Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
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8
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When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
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3
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How long will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands for?
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9
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Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?
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7
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How many people will Trump pardon in June 2026?
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8
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Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
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4
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Will the President order the release of UFO files?
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3
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Will the carried interest loophole be closed?
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4
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Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
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8
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2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
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14
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When will Powell depart as chair pro tempore?
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7
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Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
Yes
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1
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How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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8
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Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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12
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Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?
Yes
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2
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Trump Truth Social posts this week? (5/17-5/23)
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24h
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9
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Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (5/17 - 5/23)
Yes
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24h
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1
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Will the US ban crude oil exports?
Yes
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24h
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2
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How many votes will the next reconciliation bill receive in the House?
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12
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Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?
Yes
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24h
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2
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Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?
Yes
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2
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Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?
Yes
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1
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Will anyone receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?
Yes
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24h
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1
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Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
Yes
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1
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When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
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8
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Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
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21
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When will Trump's Director of National Intelligence pick be announced?
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6
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Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
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15
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