| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before April 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether actor Timothée Chalamet will publicly claim that he is the person known as "EsDeeKid." It matters because a clear, verifiable self-identification would be a discrete, market-resolvable event that could drive rapid price movement and media attention.
Timothée Chalamet is a high-profile actor whose public statements and social-media activity draw wide coverage; "EsDeeKid" appears to be an online alias or persona discussed in some corners of the internet. There is no widely accepted public evidence linking Chalamet to that alias at the time the market was created, so any claim (or credible denial) would be newsworthy and could change market expectations.
Market odds reflect traders’ aggregated expectations about whether a public, verifiable claim will occur; they update as new information appears. Because odds change in real time, treat them as a snapshot of current sentiment rather than a fixed prediction.
A claim is a clear, public self-identification by Timothée Chalamet that he is EsDeeKid, delivered via a verified personal account, a direct quote in a reputable interview, an official press release from him or his authorized representative, or another verifiable public statement attributable to him.
Yes, an official statement from an authorized representative that clearly attributes the claim to Chalamet would generally count, provided the platform verifies the statement’s authenticity and source according to its resolution rules.
No. Unverified reports, anonymous posts, or secondary reporting that does not include a direct, verifiable quote or authenticated evidence will typically not meet the threshold for a resolution.
Ambiguous or clearly facetious comments may be subject to platform adjudication. Resolution generally requires a statement that a reasonable person would interpret as a sincere self-identification; disputed cases may be resolved according to the market’s dispute or oracle procedures.
This market is listed as closing: TBD, so trades continue until the platform sets a close or resolution condition. The event will be judged based on statements made before the market’s official close and in line with the platform’s documented resolution timeline.