| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angelina Keeley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aubry Bracco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlie Davis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chrissy Hofbeck | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christian Hubicki | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cirie Fields | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Benjamin “Coach” Wade | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colby Donaldson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dee Valladares | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Emily Flippen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Genevieve Mushaluk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jenna Lewis-Dougherty | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Hunter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jonathan Young | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamilla Karthigesu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kyle Fraser | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mike White | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ozzy Lusth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Quintavius “Q” Burdette | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rick Devens | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rizo Velovic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Savannah Louie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tiffany Nicole Ervin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which contestant will win Survivor Season 50 and aggregates public expectations; it matters because it offers a real-time signal of who the market thinks will prevail as episodes unfold.
Survivor is a long-running reality competition in which a sole winner is chosen after days of social strategy, challenges, and jury voting; Season 50 is a milestone season that often draws extra attention and format tweaks. Historical patterns show that early alliances, immunity wins, edit emphasis, and late-game jury perception strongly shape outcomes, while midseason twists, medical evacuations, or returnees can materially change the field. The market lists 24 outcomes and trading volume indicates active interest as the season progresses.
Market prices convey the collective expectations of traders given currently available information and typically move in response to episode outcomes, eliminations, and new public information. Use price movements as signals of changing sentiment rather than guarantees, and check the market page for settlement rules and timeline updates.
The market close time is listed as TBD; the operator will announce a closing time or close the market when the settlement condition is met (commonly when the official winner is publicly announced). Monitor the Kalshi event page for the definitive close time and any updates.
The 24 outcomes correspond to the named contestants or specific winner options included in this market; each outcome resolves only if that particular contestant is officially declared the Season 50 winner per the market's settlement rules. Check the event's outcome labels for exact names and any special options (e.g., 'Other' or 'No Winner').
Each elimination narrows the field and typically shifts market sentiment toward remaining contestants; as jurors are revealed and finalist profiles become clearer, markets often reprice to reflect which players are likeliest to persuade the jury at final tribal council.
Settlement in atypical scenarios depends on the market operator's rules: Kalshi may void, settle against a specified alternate outcome, or follow predefined contingency language. Review the market's terms and any operator announcements for how nonstandard outcomes will be handled.
Episode edits and verified, public information are commonly priced in and drive market moves; unverified leaks or spoilers carry risk and can be wrong. Before trading on such information, confirm whether the market permits trading on non-public information and weigh the reliability of sources.