| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abayomi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bella Emry | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Braden Rumfelt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brenna Brigman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brianna Yancey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brooks Rosser | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bryant Thomas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chloe Lauren | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Tungseth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daniel Stallworth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Genevieve Heyward | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hannah Harper | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacquie Lee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jake Thistle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesse Findling | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jordan McCullough | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Julian Kalel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Keyla Richardson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kiera Howell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kyndal Inskeep | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kutter Bradley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lucas Leon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Madison Moon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Makiyah | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Garner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philmon Lee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rae | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ruby Rae | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sheldon Riley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tianna Roberts | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which named contestant will be declared the winner of American Idol; it matters to fans and traders who want to express or hedge beliefs about the season's outcome. Market prices aggregate publicly available signals about performances, voting, and audience sentiment.
American Idol is a long-running televised singing competition that advances contestants from auditions to live shows with viewer voting determining the winner. This specific market offers 30 distinct outcomes corresponding to the contestants listed by the market creator; the market will ultimately settle to the officially announced winner after the show's final resolution. Because the close date is listed as TBD, timing of settlement depends on the program's finale and the exchange's settlement rules.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of which contestant is most likely to win given current information, and they change as performances, judge commentary, voting patterns, and public attention evolve. Treat prices as real-time signals, not guarantees; new episodes, social-media surges, or vote-count updates can move the market quickly.
Resolution occurs when American Idol officially names a winner; the exchange will settle the market to that announced winner and publish a settlement date, which may align with the finale air date or a brief verification window afterward.
Each of the 30 listed outcomes corresponds to a specific contestant named in the market; the winning outcome must match the official winner announced by the show for that outcome to pay out.
Platform rules typically govern such scenarios: an affected outcome may be removed or voided and funds handled per the exchange's contingency and settlement policies, so check KALSHI’s market rules or official notices for this specific market.
Rapid moves usually reflect new information—strong or weak performances, judge commentary, voting reports, or viral clips—and indicate how the market is repricing contestants based on that information; such moves can present trading or hedging opportunities but also increased risk.
Yes—historical patterns (genre popularity, age, hometown turnout, post-show momentum) inform traders’ priors, but every season has unique dynamics, so markets balance historical tendencies with up-to-date signals from the current season.