| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Fey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seth Meyers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Steve Higgins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mike Shoemaker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kenan Thompson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colin Jost | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bill Hader | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Judd Apatow | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Maya Rudolp | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will succeed Lorne Michaels as SNL’s showrunner; the eventual choice will influence the creative direction, staffing, and public profile of a long-running cultural institution.
Lorne Michaels has been the driving force behind Saturday Night Live across decades, and a successor would inherit responsibilities for show concept, talent selection, and season planning. This market lists nine possible outcomes, has seen $18,776 in total volume traded, and currently has a closing time that is TBD.
Market prices aggregate traders’ expectations about who will be officially named and update as news, leaks, and industry developments arrive; they are indicators of collective belief, not guarantees. Always cross-check with official NBC/SNL announcements and the exchange’s resolution rules when interpreting price movements.
The market will resolve according to the exchange’s stated resolution conditions—typically when an official successor is publicly announced by NBC or SNL or when the market’s close date is reached; since the close is listed as TBD, monitor the exchange’s rules and official SNL/NBC communications for timing.
Resolution usually requires an authoritative public statement such as an NBC or SNL press release, an on-air credit naming the showrunner, or another form of confirmation specified in the exchange’s resolution policy; check that policy for the exact evidence accepted.
Whether an interim or co-showrunner wins depends on how the market’s outcomes are defined and the exchange’s definition of 'succeed'; if an outcome exactly matches the officially designated interim/co-showrunner and the exchange accepts that designation, that outcome may settle as the winner.
Outcomes commonly include named internal candidates (producers, head writers, senior cast members), potential external hires, and sometimes catch-all options like 'Other' or 'TBD'; review the specific outcome list on the market page to see which individuals or categories are covered.
Key signals include official NBC/SNL press releases, trade-press reports (Variety, Hollywood Reporter), public statements by Lorne Michaels or senior SNL staff, credit listings at season episodes, major NBC leadership changes, labor actions affecting writers or performers, and high-profile hires or departures within the SNL team.