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Entertainment OPEN

Who will release a new song this year?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
53
Markets
120

Trade This Market

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Yes Ask —
Last Price —
Prev Close —
Buy YES → Buy NO

Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (120)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
✓ Drake 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Taylor Swift 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Bad Bunny 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
The Weeknd 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Justin Bieber 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Ariana Grande 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Ed Sheeran 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Travis Scott 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Eminem 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Kanye West 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Rihanna 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Billie Eilish 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Kendrick Lamar 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Post Malone 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Future 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ BTS 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ J Balvin 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Ozuna 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Bruno Mars 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Coldplay 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Nicki Minaj 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Chris Brown 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Dua Lipa 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ David Guetta 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Lana Del Rey 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
21 Savage 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Lil Wayne 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ SZA 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ KAROL G 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Lady Gaga 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Maroon 5 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Rauw Alejandro 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Beyoncé 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Lil Uzi Vert 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Sia 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Khalid 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Linkin Park 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Anuel AA 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Lil Baby 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Doja Cat 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Shawn Mendes 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Sam Smith 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Calvin Harris 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Quavo 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Jason Derulo 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ USHER 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Justin Timberlake 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ J. Cole 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Swae Lee 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Daft Punk 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Tate McRae 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ BLACKPINK 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Young Thug 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Big Sean 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Migos 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Trippie Redd 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Polo G 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Tyga 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Kodak Black 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Offset 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ 2 Chainz 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Bebe Rexha 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Fall Out Boy 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Lewis Capaldi 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Roddy Ricch 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Daniel Caesar 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ YoungBoy Never Broke Again 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Camilo 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
NF 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Kali Uchis 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Charlie Puth 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Bryson Tiller 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Stray Kids 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Luke Combs 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Zach Bryan 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Lil Nas X 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Don Toliver 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
PARTYNEXTDOOR 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
John Mayer 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Megan Thee Stallion 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Mariah Carey 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Childish Gambino 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Alex Warren 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Pharrell Williams 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Chappell Roan 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Benson Boone 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
PinkPantheress 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Kid Cudi 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Ice Spice 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Sabrina Carpenter 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ ROSALÍA 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Tyla 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Doechii 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Logic 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ mgk 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Olivia Dean 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
The Marías 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ The Kid LAROI 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Addison Rae 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Lola Young 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Fred again.. 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Gracie Abrams 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Shaboozey 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Frank Ocean 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Olivia Rodrigo 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Joji 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ SIENNA SPIRO 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Lil Yachty 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
Geese 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Clairo 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Zara Larsson 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
Grimes 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Trade →
✓ Charli xcx 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Leon Thomas 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Harry Styles 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ sombr 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Ella Langley 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ EsDeeKid 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ KATSEYE 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved
✓ Tyler, The Creator 0%
0¢ 0¢ — $0 Resolved

About This Market

This market asks which named artist will release a new song within the resolution window and matters because it aggregates crowd expectations about upcoming releases in the music industry. Traders use it to express opinions about artists' likelihood of releasing new material and to profit from changing information.

Release timing in popular music is driven by album cycles, label strategies, and surprise-drop practices; some artists follow predictable annual patterns while others release sporadically. Features, collaborations, soundtrack contributions, and independent singles all shape the landscape and can cause rapid shifts in market beliefs. Historical patterns show that touring schedules, social-media teases, and label announcements are frequent precursors to releases.

Market prices reflect the aggregated expectation that a given named outcome will meet the event's release criteria by the market's resolution rules; interpret prices as the crowd's consensus signal, not a guaranteed outcome.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

How does this market define 'release a new song this year' for an artist outcome?

Resolution typically requires an official, commercially distributed new song attributed to the named artist within the market's stated time window; consult the market's rules for precise definitions (for example whether live-only performances, unlisted leaks, or reissues count).

Does a song where the artist is only a featured performer count toward that artist's outcome?

Whether a feature counts depends on the market's outcome definitions; some markets count any credited appearance while others require the artist to be the primary or lead artist, so check the event's specific rules before trading.

If an artist releases multiple songs in the year, how does that affect their outcome?

Most outcomes are binary per artist: a single qualifying release is sufficient to meet the outcome and additional releases do not change an already-resolved outcome, per the market's resolution criteria.

What does 'Closes: TBD' mean for the trading timeline and resolution?

'Closes: TBD' means the market has not announced a final trading cutoff; platforms typically set a cutoff before the resolution date or end of the year and will post updates—monitor official platform notices for closure and settlement timing.

What historical signals should traders track to anticipate which artist will release a new song this year?

Watch for studio updates and social-media teasers, registration of songs with rights organizations, announced collaborations or soundtrack placements, label release calendars, and shifts in touring that provide studio time—these have historically preceded public releases.

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