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Entertainment OPEN

Who will release a new album in 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
101
Markets
123

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All Outcomes (123)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Drake 0%
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Taylor Swift 0%
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Bad Bunny 0%
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The Weeknd 0%
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Justin Bieber 0%
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Ariana Grande 0%
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Ed Sheeran 0%
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Travis Scott 0%
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Eminem 0%
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Kanye West / Ye 0%
$0 Resolved
Rihanna 0%
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Billie Eilish 0%
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Kendrick Lamar 0%
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Post Malone 0%
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J Balvin 0%
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Future 0%
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Bruno Mars 0%
$0 Resolved
BTS 0%
$0 Resolved
Ozuna 0%
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Coldplay 0%
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Nicki Minaj 0%
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Chris Brown 0%
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Dua Lipa 0%
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David Guetta 0%
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Lana Del Rey 0%
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Lil Wayne 0%
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21 Savage 0%
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Rauw Alejandro 0%
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Anuel AA 0%
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SZA 0%
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KAROL G 0%
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Khalid 0%
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Lady Gaga 0%
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Lil Baby 0%
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Maroon 5 0%
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Beyoncé 0%
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Calvin Harris 0%
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Lil Uzi Vert 0%
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J. Cole 0%
$0 Resolved
Sia 0%
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Young Thug 0%
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Linkin Park 0%
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Doja Cat 0%
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Shawn Mendes 0%
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Sam Smith 0%
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Quavo 0%
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Trippie Redd 0%
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Tyga 0%
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Frank Ocean 0%
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YoungBoy Never Broke Again 0%
$0 Resolved
Charlie Puth 0%
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Luke Combs 0%
$0 Resolved
USHER 0%
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Kodak Black 0%
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Justin Timberlake 0%
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Zach Bryan 0%
$0 Resolved
Bebe Rexha 0%
$0 Resolved
Jason Derulo 0%
$0 Resolved
Swae Lee 0%
$0 Resolved
BLACKPINK 0%
$0 Resolved
Kali Uchis 0%
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Daft Punk 0%
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Tate McRae 0%
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Big Sean 0%
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Don Toliver 0%
$0 Resolved
Migos 0%
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Polo G 0%
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Pharrell Williams 0%
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Kid Cudi 0%
$0 Resolved
Offset 0%
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2 Chainz 0%
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Fall Out Boy 0%
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Lewis Capaldi 0%
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Joji 0%
$0 Resolved
The Kid LAROI 0%
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Roddy Ricch 0%
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Daniel Caesar 0%
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Camilo 0%
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NF 0%
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Bryson Tiller 0%
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Stray Kids 0%
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Logic 0%
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Charli xcx 0%
$0 Resolved
Lil Nas X 0%
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PARTYNEXTDOOR 0%
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John Mayer 0%
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ROSALÍA 0%
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Megan Thee Stallion 0%
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mgk 0%
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Mariah Carey 0%
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Childish Gambino 0%
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Lil Yachty 0%
$0 Resolved
Fred again.. 0%
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Alex Warren 0%
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Chappell Roan 0%
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Benson Boone 0%
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PinkPantheress 0%
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Ice Spice 0%
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Sabrina Carpenter 0%
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Tyla 0%
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Doechii 0%
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Olivia Dean 0%
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Leon Thomas 0%
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sombr 0%
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KATSEYE 0%
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The Marías 0%
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Addison Rae 0%
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Lola Young 0%
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Ella Langley 0%
$0 Resolved
Gracie Abrams 0%
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Shaboozey 0%
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Playboi Carti 0%
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Olivia Rodrigo 0%
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Harry Styles 0%
$0 Resolved
EsDeeKid 0%
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SIENNA SPIRO 0%
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Tyler, The Creator 0%
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Geese 0%
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Clairo 0%
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Zara Larsson 0%
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Grimes 0%
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Jay-Z 0%
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Baby Keem 0%
$0 Resolved

About This Market

This market asks which listed artist will release a new album during calendar year 2026 and aggregates trader expectations about artist activity. It matters because it converts news, tour patterns, and industry signals into a continuously updated snapshot of who the market expects to put out new full-length work in 2026.

Speculation about album releases combines long-term label planning, artists' creative cycles, and promotional calendars; some artists announce albums months in advance while others use surprise drops. Trends such as heavy touring, recent single releases, producer credits, or contract expirations often precede album releases and feed market movement.

Market prices reflect the collective view of whether a particular named artist will have a qualifying album released in 2026; higher prices indicate stronger market belief relative to other outcomes. Watch price changes and volume spikes as signals of new information—announcements, leaks, or tour news—that shift expectations.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

How is a "new album" defined for this specific market?

Resolution depends on the market's posted rules, but events like this typically require a commercially released new studio-length album (not a reissue, simple remaster, or compilation) to be publicly available within the 2026 period; check the market's rule text for the precise legal definition that governs outcomes.

What is the timeline for resolution and how are late-night or time-zone-dependent releases handled?

This market lists closes as TBD; resolution will follow the platform's official timestamping and adjudication policy, so late-night or surprise drops count only if they meet the market's defined release date/time standard—consult the event rules for the exact cutoff method.

Which artists are included among the 123 outcomes and how much trading activity has there been?

The market offers 123 named artist outcomes covering major acts, reunions, and niche artists; total reported volume traded on the market is $145,082. View the full outcome list on the market page to see specific artists and available liquidity for trading.

What types of news or signals most often move this market?

Direct album announcements, preorder pages, single releases, label press releases, tour announcements referencing new material, verified studio posts, and credible leaks typically cause rapid price moves; secondary signals like producer credits or management changes can shift expectations more gradually.

How are borderline releases treated—EPs, deluxe editions, live albums, or collaborations?

Whether a borderline release counts depends on the market's resolution criteria; many markets exclude EPs, remasters, greatest-hits compilations, and some collaborative tracks unless explicitly defined as a new album in the rules, so always reference the event's official resolution language for determinations.

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