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Entertainment OPEN

Who will play Felix Leiter in the next James Bond?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
9
Markets
9

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (9)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Wyatt Russell 0%
$0 Trade →
Anthony Mackie 0%
$0 Trade →
Chiwetel Ejiofor 0%
$0 Trade →
Steven Yeun 0%
$0 Trade →
Boyd Holbrook 0%
$0 Trade →
John Hoogenakker 0%
$0 Trade →
Albert Jones 0%
$0 Trade →
Aaron Staton 0%
$0 Trade →
Seth Numrich 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which actor will be announced to play Felix Leiter in the next official James Bond film. It matters because casting choices are key creative decisions that shape production, marketing, and fan expectations.

Felix Leiter is a recurring CIA ally in the James Bond franchise who has been portrayed by multiple actors across films; casting decisions have sometimes changed between installments. The next Bond film's production timeline, casting strategy, and studio communications will drive how and when a Leitner actor is chosen and announced.

Market prices reflect the crowd’s aggregate expectation of who will be named, and they update as new information (studio announcements, trade reports, actor statements) becomes available. Use prices as a real-time signal of how likely the market thinks each listed candidate is, not as definitive confirmation.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

When will this market resolve or close?

Resolution typically occurs when the production issues an official casting announcement naming the actor who will play Felix Leiter in the next Bond film; the platform may also set or update a specific close date according to its rules.

What qualifies as an official announcement that determines the winning outcome?

An official statement from the film’s credited production company (for example EON Productions), the distributing studio, or a formal press release naming the actor is the standard basis for resolution; corroborating announcements on official franchise channels are also used.

Can new actor outcomes be added to this market after trading starts?

Whether outcomes can be added or removed depends on the exchange’s rules; some platforms allow list changes or additional markets, but traders should check the market page or platform policy for action on this specific event.

How does the historical pattern of Felix Leiter recasting affect this market?

Because Leiter has been played by different actors across the franchise, the market will weigh both the likelihood of a returning performer and the possibility of a new casting, so historical precedent keeps multiple plausible outcomes competitive until a clear announcement.

What types of news or developments will most strongly move prices in this market?

Strong movers include an official casting announcement, a reliable industry report or agent confirmation, an actor publicly accepting or denying the role, and clear scheduling news that makes an actor unavailable or available for the production.

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