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Entertainment OPEN

Who will have a top 20 song this year?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
98
Markets
122

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All Outcomes (122)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Drake 0%
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The Weeknd 0%
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Bad Bunny 0%
$0 Resolved
Taylor Swift 0%
$0 Resolved
Ariana Grande 0%
$0 Trade →
Ed Sheeran 0%
$0 Trade →
Justin Bieber 0%
$0 Resolved
Travis Scott 0%
$0 Trade →
Eminem 0%
$0 Trade →
Kanye West / Ye 0%
$0 Trade →
Rihanna 0%
$0 Trade →
Billie Eilish 0%
$0 Trade →
Kendrick Lamar 0%
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Post Malone 0%
$0 Trade →
J Balvin 0%
$0 Trade →
Future 0%
$0 Trade →
BTS 0%
$0 Resolved
Bruno Mars 0%
$0 Resolved
Ozuna 0%
$0 Trade →
Coldplay 0%
$0 Trade →
Nicki Minaj 0%
$0 Trade →
Dua Lipa 0%
$0 Trade →
David Guetta 0%
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Lana Del Rey 0%
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Lil Wayne 0%
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Chris Brown 0%
$0 Resolved
21 Savage 0%
$0 Trade →
Rauw Alejandro 0%
$0 Trade →
Anuel AA 0%
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SZA 0%
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KAROL G 0%
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Khalid 0%
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Lady Gaga 0%
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Lil Baby 0%
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Maroon 5 0%
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Beyoncé 0%
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Calvin Harris 0%
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J. Cole 0%
$0 Resolved
Sia 0%
$0 Trade →
Lil Uzi Vert 0%
$0 Resolved
Young Thug 0%
$0 Trade →
Linkin Park 0%
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Doja Cat 0%
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Shawn Mendes 0%
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Sam Smith 0%
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Quavo 0%
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Trippie Redd 0%
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YoungBoy Never Broke Again 0%
$0 Trade →
Tyga 0%
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Lil Peep 0%
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Charlie Puth 0%
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Jason Derulo 0%
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USHER 0%
$0 Trade →
Kodak Black 0%
$0 Trade →
Luke Combs 0%
$0 Resolved
Justin Timberlake 0%
$0 Trade →
Zach Bryan 0%
$0 Resolved
Bebe Rexha 0%
$0 Trade →
Swae Lee 0%
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BLACKPINK 0%
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Kali Uchis 0%
$0 Trade →
Daft Punk 0%
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Don Toliver 0%
$0 Resolved
Big Sean 0%
$0 Trade →
Migos 0%
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Polo G 0%
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Pharrell Williams 0%
$0 Trade →
The Kid LAROI 0%
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Kid Cudi 0%
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Offset 0%
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2 Chainz 0%
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Fall Out Boy 0%
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Lewis Capaldi 0%
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Tate McRae 0%
$0 Resolved
Joji 0%
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Roddy Ricch 0%
$0 Trade →
Daniel Caesar 0%
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Camilo 0%
$0 Trade →
NF 0%
$0 Trade →
Stray Kids 0%
$0 Trade →
Logic 0%
$0 Trade →
Charli xcx 0%
$0 Trade →
Lil Nas X 0%
$0 Trade →
PARTYNEXTDOOR 0%
$0 Trade →
John Mayer 0%
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ROSALÍA 0%
$0 Trade →
Megan Thee Stallion 0%
$0 Trade →
mgk 0%
$0 Trade →
Mariah Carey 0%
$0 Trade →
Childish Gambino 0%
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Bryson Tiller 0%
$0 Resolved
Lil Yachty 0%
$0 Trade →
Fred again.. 0%
$0 Trade →
Chappell Roan 0%
$0 Trade →
Benson Boone 0%
$0 Trade →
PinkPantheress 0%
$0 Resolved
Ice Spice 0%
$0 Trade →
Tyla 0%
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Doechii 0%
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KATSEYE 0%
$0 Trade →
The Marías 0%
$0 Trade →
Addison Rae 0%
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Lola Young 0%
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Gracie Abrams 0%
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Shaboozey 0%
$0 Trade →
Alex Warren 0%
$0 Resolved
Frank Ocean 0%
$0 Trade →
Olivia Rodrigo 0%
$0 Trade →
EsDeeKid 0%
$0 Trade →
Tyler, The Creator 0%
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Harry Styles 0%
$0 Resolved
Clairo 0%
$0 Trade →
Sabrina Carpenter 0%
$0 Resolved
Zara Larsson 0%
$0 Resolved
Grimes 0%
$0 Trade →
SIENNA SPIRO 0%
$0 Resolved
Olivia Dean 0%
$0 Resolved
Geese 0%
$0 Trade →
Leon Thomas 0%
$0 Resolved
Dominic Fike 0%
$0 Resolved
sombr 0%
$0 Resolved
Ella Langley 0%
$0 Resolved

About This Market

This market asks which named artist will have a top 20 song this year; it matters because it aggregates public expectations about commercial success and cultural momentum across artists. Traders use market prices to express how likely they think an artist is to break into the top 20 within the contract’s time window.

Chart outcomes are shaped by a mix of radio, streaming, sales, and promotional activity; over the past decade streaming and playlist placement have become much more influential than they were historically. This Kalshi market lists 121 outcomes and has seen active participation (see the market page for current volume and roster), but the contract’s settlement will follow the specific chart definition and timeframe listed on the market page.

Market odds reflect the consensus view of traders about each outcome and will update as new releases, promotional moves, and viral moments occur; interpret prices as a dynamic signal of relative likelihood rather than a guarantee of what will happen.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What does 'this year' refer to for settling this market?

Settlement follows the timeframe defined in the market’s contract on the Kalshi page—check the market rules to see whether 'this year' means the calendar year (Jan 1–Dec 31) or another chart-reporting window; the official chart and date range in the contract determine settlement.

Which chart determines whether a song is 'top 20' for this event?

The specific chart used for settlement is listed in the market contract on Kalshi; common choices are national weekly charts (e.g., Billboard or equivalent), and the contract will name the chart and any particular chart week rules that apply.

How does the market treat songs credited to multiple artists or featuring artists?

Settlement follows how the chart itself credits the song: if the chart lists multiple credited artists or a 'feat.' credit, those credited names determine which outcome(s) are considered winners—consult the chart’s credited-artist conventions and the market’s settlement notes.

Can more than one outcome win in this market?

That depends on the market structure shown on Kalshi: if the market is a set of individual Yes/No contracts, multiple outcomes can win (each artist who achieves a top 20 entry); if the market is a single categorical contract, the contract’s rules will state whether it permits multiple winners or only a single winning outcome—check the market type and settlement rules.

The page says 'Closes: TBD'—how does that affect trading and settlement?

A TBD close means the platform has not yet announced the final trading cutoff or settlement timing; trading remains subject to interim updates, and you should monitor the market page for the posted close date and any amendments to settlement mechanics before making decisions.

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