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Entertainment OPEN

Who will have a top 10 song this year?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
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Open Interest
0
Active Markets
112
Markets
125

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All Outcomes (125)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Drake 0%
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Bad Bunny 0%
$0 Resolved
Taylor Swift 0%
$0 Resolved
The Weeknd 0%
$0 Trade →
Ariana Grande 0%
$0 Trade →
Justin Bieber 0%
$0 Resolved
Ed Sheeran 0%
$0 Trade →
Travis Scott 0%
$0 Trade →
Eminem 0%
$0 Trade →
Kanye West / Ye 0%
$0 Trade →
Rihanna 0%
$0 Trade →
Billie Eilish 0%
$0 Trade →
Kendrick Lamar 0%
$0 Trade →
Post Malone 0%
$0 Trade →
J Balvin 0%
$0 Trade →
Future 0%
$0 Trade →
Bruno Mars 0%
$0 Resolved
BTS 0%
$0 Resolved
Ozuna 0%
$0 Trade →
Coldplay 0%
$0 Trade →
Nicki Minaj 0%
$0 Trade →
Chris Brown 0%
$0 Trade →
Dua Lipa 0%
$0 Trade →
David Guetta 0%
$0 Trade →
Lana Del Rey 0%
$0 Trade →
Lil Wayne 0%
$0 Trade →
21 Savage 0%
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Rauw Alejandro 0%
$0 Trade →
Anuel AA 0%
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SZA 0%
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KAROL G 0%
$0 Trade →
Khalid 0%
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Lady Gaga 0%
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Lil Baby 0%
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Maroon 5 0%
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Beyoncé 0%
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Calvin Harris 0%
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Lil Uzi Vert 0%
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J. Cole 0%
$0 Trade →
Sia 0%
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Young Thug 0%
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Linkin Park 0%
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Doja Cat 0%
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Shawn Mendes 0%
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Sam Smith 0%
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Quavo 0%
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Trippie Redd 0%
$0 Trade →
YoungBoy Never Broke Again 0%
$0 Trade →
Tyga 0%
$0 Trade →
Lil Peep 0%
$0 Trade →
Charlie Puth 0%
$0 Trade →
Luke Combs 0%
$0 Trade →
Zach Bryan 0%
$0 Trade →
Jason Derulo 0%
$0 Trade →
USHER 0%
$0 Trade →
Kodak Black 0%
$0 Trade →
Justin Timberlake 0%
$0 Trade →
Bebe Rexha 0%
$0 Trade →
Swae Lee 0%
$0 Trade →
BLACKPINK 0%
$0 Trade →
Kali Uchis 0%
$0 Trade →
Don Toliver 0%
$0 Trade →
Daft Punk 0%
$0 Trade →
Tate McRae 0%
$0 Trade →
Big Sean 0%
$0 Trade →
Migos 0%
$0 Trade →
Polo G 0%
$0 Trade →
Pharrell Williams 0%
$0 Trade →
The Kid LAROI 0%
$0 Trade →
Kid Cudi 0%
$0 Trade →
Offset 0%
$0 Trade →
2 Chainz 0%
$0 Trade →
Fall Out Boy 0%
$0 Trade →
Lewis Capaldi 0%
$0 Trade →
Joji 0%
$0 Trade →
Roddy Ricch 0%
$0 Trade →
Daniel Caesar 0%
$0 Trade →
Camilo 0%
$0 Trade →
NF 0%
$0 Trade →
Bryson Tiller 0%
$0 Trade →
Stray Kids 0%
$0 Trade →
Logic 0%
$0 Trade →
Charli xcx 0%
$0 Trade →
Lil Nas X 0%
$0 Trade →
PARTYNEXTDOOR 0%
$0 Trade →
John Mayer 0%
$0 Trade →
ROSALÍA 0%
$0 Trade →
Megan Thee Stallion 0%
$0 Trade →
mgk 0%
$0 Trade →
Mariah Carey 0%
$0 Trade →
Childish Gambino 0%
$0 Trade →
Lil Yachty 0%
$0 Trade →
Fred again.. 0%
$0 Trade →
Chappell Roan 0%
$0 Trade →
Benson Boone 0%
$0 Trade →
PinkPantheress 0%
$0 Resolved
Ice Spice 0%
$0 Trade →
Alex Warren 0%
$0 Resolved
Sabrina Carpenter 0%
$0 Trade →
Tyla 0%
$0 Trade →
Doechii 0%
$0 Trade →
KATSEYE 0%
$0 Trade →
The Marías 0%
$0 Trade →
Addison Rae 0%
$0 Trade →
Lola Young 0%
$0 Trade →
Gracie Abrams 0%
$0 Trade →
Olivia Dean 0%
$0 Resolved
Shaboozey 0%
$0 Trade →
Leon Thomas 0%
$0 Resolved
sombr 0%
$0 Resolved
Frank Ocean 0%
$0 Trade →
Olivia Rodrigo 0%
$0 Trade →
Harry Styles 0%
$0 Resolved
EsDeeKid 0%
$0 Trade →
SIENNA SPIRO 0%
$0 Trade →
Tyler, The Creator 0%
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Ella Langley 0%
$0 Resolved
Geese 0%
$0 Trade →
Clairo 0%
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Zara Larsson 0%
$0 Resolved
Grimes 0%
$0 Trade →
A$AP Rocky 0%
$0 Trade →
Yeat 0%
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Central Cee 0%
$0 Trade →
Dominic Fike 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which artist will have a top 10 song during the defined calendar period; it matters because top-10 placements are high-profile milestones that drive streaming, sales, and visibility for artists. Traders use the market to aggregate expectations about which acts are most likely to reach that chart milestone this year.

Historically, top-10 chart placements have reflected a mix of radio airplay, streaming performance, sales, and playlist placement; in recent years streaming and social-platform virality (especially short-form video) have become dominant drivers. Both established acts with major label support and independent or breakout viral hits can reach the top 10, so markets like this capture a wide range of possible paths to success.

Market prices aggregate participant beliefs about each outcome and move as new information arrives (new releases, playlist adds, radio impact, viral moments). Treat prices as a real-time signal that updates when relevant news or data change.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What specific chart and time window will be used to determine whether an outcome is resolved as 'a top 10 song this year'?

The authoritative chart(s) and the exact cut-off window for resolution are defined in the event's contract text on the market page; check that resolution clause for the named chart(s) and the calendar/time boundaries used for settlement.

Do the 124 outcomes correspond to individual artists, individual songs, or something else?

Each outcome label on the market page defines its universe — typically these markets list individual artists (each outcome resolves if that artist has any qualifying top-10 entry) but you must read the outcome text on the event page to confirm whether it is artist-level, song-level, or otherwise specified.

If an artist is credited as a featured performer on a top-10 track, does that count for their outcome in this market?

Featured credits count only if the chart used for resolution officially credits the artist on the chart entry; the contract resolves based on the chart's credited artist listing, so check how the credited name appears on the authoritative source.

If a song is released late in the year and reaches the top 10 after the market's defined cut-off, will that outcome still resolve in favor of the artist?

No — outcomes are evaluated only within the contract's specified time window. If the top-10 placement occurs after the defined cut-off, it will not count for that market; confirm the market's exact cut-off date and time on the event page.

With many outcomes listed, how can I efficiently monitor which artists are gaining traction for a top-10 placement?

Track official chart updates, streaming tallies and playlist adds, radio add reports, major release and sync news, and social-media virality indicators; combine those data points with market price movements and set alerts for key artist releases and chart weeks to follow shifts in likelihood.

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