| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Olivia Dean | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| HUNTR/X | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Ella Langley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| KATSEYE | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Warren | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| sombr | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fleetwood Mac | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| She & Him | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| RAYE | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| EsDeeKid | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Morgan Wallen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chappell Roan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drake | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| A$AP Rocky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Megan Moroney | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Baby Keem | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joji | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Bruno Mars | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| J. Cole | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Harry Styles | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Luke Combs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charli xcx | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lana Del Rey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ PinkPantheress | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ BTS | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Twenty One Pilots | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Weeknd | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ariana Grande | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Noah Kahan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Yeat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Playboi Carti | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Dominic Fike | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which artist will hold the #1 song position on Spotify USA at some point during March. It matters because topping Spotify reflects large streaming demand and cultural momentum that can affect an artist’s visibility and commercial success.
Spotify streaming dominates contemporary music consumption, so its daily and weekly charts are major indicators of what listeners are choosing. Historically, #1 positions often come from new high-profile releases, viral social-media moments, major collaborations, soundtrack placements, or coordinated label promotion. March outcomes can be shaped by release schedules, award-season exposure, and surprise drops.
Prices in this market aggregate trader expectations about which artist will reach #1 during March and update as new information arrives. Use prices as a read on collective judgment alongside news about releases, playlist placements, viral trends, and promotional events.
Resolution depends on the market operator's stated cutoff; typically it refers to Spotify USA chart positions that appear within the calendar month of March under the market's specified timezone and timestamp. Check the event description for the precise cutoff and resolution rules.
Markets resolve according to how Spotify lists artist credits for that track and according to the exact outcome labels in the market. If the Spotify metadata lists multiple credited artists, the outcome that matches the market's listed artist string (or the collaborative option, if present) will be used—confirm by comparing Spotify credits to the market outcomes.
Resolution follows Spotify's crediting for the specific track that sits at #1. If the remix is credited differently on Spotify (different artist attribution or title) and the market has separate outcomes for those artists or versions, the credited remix outcome will prevail per the market's rules.
Yes—an artist can have multiple tracks reach #1 at different times. Whether that matters depends on how outcomes are defined: if outcomes are by artist, any #1 song by that artist during March would fulfill that outcome; if outcomes are by specific song titles, resolution follows which specific song reaches #1.
Major new releases or surprise drops, playlist editorial additions or removals, viral trends on platforms like TikTok, high-visibility live performances or awards appearances, and sync placements in popular films/TV/ads can all produce sudden streaming surges that change the #1 position.