| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Olivia Dean | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| HUNTR/X | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ella Langley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| KATSEYE | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Warren | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| sombr | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fleetwood Mac | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| She & Him | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| RAYE | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| EsDeeKid | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Morgan Wallen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chappell Roan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drake | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| A$AP Rocky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Megan Moroney | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Baby Keem | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joji | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Bruno Mars | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| J. Cole | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Harry Styles | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Luke Combs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charli xcx | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lana Del Rey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ BTS | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Dominic Fike | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which artist or track will occupy the #1 position on Spotify’s Global chart during the month of March. It matters because a #1 on Spotify signals wide commercial reach and drives downstream exposure and revenue.
Spotify’s Global chart aggregates worldwide streams and is a widely watched barometer of a song’s commercial momentum; high-profile releases and viral hits frequently compete for the top spot. Artists, labels, playlists, and social-platform trends all interact to push tracks up or down the chart, so March’s #1 often reflects recent release timing and promotional activity as much as longstanding popularity.
Market odds aggregate traders’ views about who is most likely to hit #1 given current information; they update as news, releases, and streaming data change. Use them to see how expectations shift over time, not as guarantees of final outcome.
The market resolves to the outcome that matches the contract’s specified resolution source and time window; in practice that means the artist/track identified as #1 on the Spotify Global chart within the March period as defined in the contract. Always check the contract text for the precise source, timestamp, and any tie-breaking rules.
Resolution depends on how Spotify reports the chart and how the contract defines the outcome: some charts aggregate streams across versions under a single track title, others list distinct track IDs. The market will use the labeling and aggregation method specified by the contract’s chosen data source.
The contract’s resolution clause specifies the exact calendar definition and chart update timestamp used for determining outcomes. Spotify updates its charts regularly, but the market will use the specific chart snapshot and timezone named in the contract, so review that detail before trading.
The market creator chose a fixed list of 25 candidate outcomes (typically the most likely contenders and sometimes an 'Other' option). New outcomes cannot normally be added after market creation; if your preferred candidate isn’t listed, check whether the market includes an 'Other' outcome or consider markets with broader coverage.
Disputes are handled according to the platform’s resolution rules: the contract names the authoritative data source and outlines escalation or arbitration procedures. Traders should consult the market’s resolution policy and provide evidence aligned with the specified source if they believe the announced outcome is incorrect.