| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barack Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donald Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sam Altman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| David Sacks | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bill Ackman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kanye West | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jeff Bezos | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bernie Sanders | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Saylor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Jones | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zohran Mamdani | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hunter Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drake | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Clavicular | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Fishback | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the listed people will appear as a guest on the Joe Rogan Experience during the current calendar year. It matters because guest bookings reflect publicity cycles, news events, and public interest, and markets aggregate those signals in real time.
The Joe Rogan Experience is a long‑running podcast known for a wide range of guests — comedians, scientists, athletes, politicians, and cultural figures — and for both planned interviews and last‑minute bookings. Rogan frequently announces guests via social media and sometimes re‑invites previous guests, making guest lineups partly predictable and partly driven by current events and touring schedules.
Market prices represent the collective view of traders about who is most likely to appear, and they update as new information (announcements, scheduling changes, news) arrives. Treat prices as evolving signals, not certainties: an announcement from the podcast or the guest is the decisive public signal for resolution.
The marketplace generally uses the current calendar year (January 1–December 31) as the timeframe for 'this year'; check the market's rules page for any platform‑specific definition or cutoff if the market has a nonstandard settlement period.
A winning appearance is typically a new, credited guest interview published or publicly acknowledged by the Joe Rogan Experience (or official channels) during the year; short cameos in unrelated videos, archival clips, or references usually do not count unless the market's rules explicitly state they do.
No — most single‑name outcome markets resolve on whether the person appears at least once within the specified timeframe; multiple appearances do not create additional wins unless the market explicitly tracks repeat appearances.
Treat official confirmations (podcast episode posts, host/guest announcements) as the strongest signals; markets typically react very quickly to such news, and cancellations are handled according to the market's settlement rules, which may require official confirmation of a cancellation to affect resolution.
If an unlisted person appears, resolution depends on whether the market includes an 'Other' outcome or specific rules for unlisted entries; if there is no applicable outcome, that appearance will not affect payouts for listed outcomes and you should consult the market's resolution policy.