| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Filoni | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jon Favreau | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Feige | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| J.J. Abrams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Emma Watts | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hannah Minghella | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will hold the title President of Lucasfilm at any point before 2027. It matters because leadership changes at Lucasfilm influence creative direction, production decisions, and the Star Wars and Indiana Jones franchises.
Lucasfilm, founded by George Lucas and acquired by The Walt Disney Company in 2012, has been led by a single president for extended periods; Kathleen Kennedy has been a prominent long-serving president since the acquisition. Leadership shifts at Lucasfilm typically follow studio performance, corporate reorganizations at Disney, retirements, or strategic shifts in franchise management.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s evolving expectations about who will be announced as Lucasfilm president before 2027; they update as new information (announcements, corporate filings, leaks) becomes available. Use prices as a real-time signal of perceived likelihood, but combine them with direct news and official statements when making decisions.
The market will be settled based on public, verifiable evidence that an individual has been named President of Lucasfilm before 2027—typically an official Lucasfilm or Disney press release, a regulatory filing, or consistent reporting from major news organizations citing the company.
If the company formally assigns the title 'President' (including 'interim' or 'acting' if that exact title is used) and it is publicly documented prior to 2027, that person would generally qualify; informal management changes without the official title would not typically count.
If no new individual is publicly named President of Lucasfilm before the 2027 cutoff, the market will resolve to whatever outcome corresponds to 'no new president named before 2027' or to the status quo outcome specified in the contract—check the event page for the exact resolution wording.
Reliable confirmations include an official Lucasfilm or Disney press release, a corporate SEC or regulatory filing referencing the appointment, or reputable news outlets reporting the appointment with attribution to the company; social-media posts alone require corroboration from official sources.
Watch for Disney corporate restructuring announcements, statements from studio executives, high-profile departures from Lucasfilm leadership or creative teams, sudden shifts in project schedules or cancellations, and company-wide memos or filings that hint at leadership change.