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Entertainment OPEN

Who will be the next James Bond?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
20
Markets
22

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Yes Ask
Last Price
Prev Close
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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (22)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Aaron Pierre 0%
$0 Trade →
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 0%
$0 Trade →
Tom Hardy 0%
$0 Trade →
Henry Cavill 0%
$0 Trade →
James Norton 0%
$0 Trade →
Damson Idris 0%
$0 Trade →
Richard Madden 0%
$0 Trade →
Regé-Jean Page 0%
$0 Trade →
Theo James 0%
$0 Trade →
Edward Berger 0%
$0 Resolved
Cillian Murphy 0%
$0 Trade →
Edgar Wright 0%
$0 Resolved
Jonathan Bailey 0%
$0 Trade →
Harris Dickinson 0%
$0 Trade →
Jack Lowden 0%
$0 Trade →
Idris Elba 0%
$0 Trade →
Tom Holland 0%
$0 Trade →
Jacob Elordi 0%
$0 Trade →
Charlie Hunnam 0%
$0 Trade →
Scott Rose-Marsh 0%
$0 Trade →
Josh O'Connor 0%
$0 Trade →
Callum Turner 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which named actor will be announced as the next official James Bond; it matters because casting decisions shape the franchise's creative direction, box-office prospects, and public discourse about the role.

The James Bond role has historically been filled by high-profile, often British actors chosen by EON Productions and its producers; casting follows long periods of speculation after a lead departs and is influenced by studio strategy, franchise timing, and global marketability. The most recent era saw a formal succession process after Daniel Craig, and producers typically make a single official announcement that determines who is the next canonical Bond.

Market prices reflect the collective information and expectations of traders and update as new public information arrives; use prices to gauge how news changes consensus, but remember they are not guarantees and will move when credible casting developments occur.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which individuals or outcomes are tradable in this 'Who will be the next James Bond?' market?

This specific market lists 22 named outcomes representing actors and may include an 'Other' or 'TBD' option; consult the event page for the current roster of named candidates and exact outcome labels.

What does 'Closes: TBD' mean for when trading will stop and the market will settle?

'Closes: TBD' means the market has not been given a fixed closing time; trading continues until the market operator sets a close or until the market is settled after an official announcement or other resolution event described in the market rules.

How will this market be settled once a new James Bond is announced?

Settlement will follow the event's stated resolution source — typically an official announcement from EON Productions or the credited producers/studio; the named outcome that exactly matches the announced actor will be declared the winner per the market's resolution rules.

What types of news items typically cause the biggest price moves in this market?

Major movers include official casting confirmations, producer or director statements indicating a frontrunner, credible scoops from established industry outlets, confirmed audition/screen-test reports, or scheduling news that implies imminent casting decisions.

If the announced actor is not one of the 22 listed outcomes, how will the market resolve?

If the announced actor does not match any listed outcome, resolution depends on the market's terms: there may be an 'Other' outcome that wins, or the operator will apply the event-specific resolution procedure — always check the event rules and any operator clarifications on the event page.

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