| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Storrie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Olivia Jade | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sean Penn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Margot Robbie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Hudson Williams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Kylie Jenner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ryan Gosling | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hailee Steinfeld | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Hart | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Zendaya | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Leonardo DiCaprio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which of the listed outcomes will be recorded as attending the Oscars; it matters because attendance signals industry engagement, influences publicity, and is an observable event traders can use to test information and timing.
Attendance at the Academy Awards reflects a mix of nomination status, studio and personal publicity strategies, and real-world constraints such as scheduling and travel. In recent years attendance patterns have been affected by health and safety considerations, changing studio promotion practices, and occasional high-profile absences or boycotts, all of which shape expectations in this market.
Market prices aggregate participants' expectations about who will be physically present at the ceremony; they move as new information (presenter lists, nominee confirmations, travel notices) becomes public. For a multi-outcome market like this one, compare prices across outcomes to see who the market collectively expects to attend, and watch for rapid changes near the event.
Resolution timing and sources are set by the market operator; traders should monitor the market page for an official close time and the stated resolution criteria (typically an authoritative broadcast or official attendee list).
'Attend' commonly means a physical, in-person presence at the ceremony during the event window, but the exact definition used to settle this market will be specified by the platform; check the market rules or settlement description for this event to confirm whether remote appearances count.
Nominees and likely winners are generally more likely to appear because they have a strong incentive to attend; an unexpected win can increase attendance probability, but winners occasionally miss the ceremony, which the market will price as news emerges.
Official presenter or guest lists, confirmations or cancellations from high-profile names, travel disruptions, illness reports, and statements from agents or studios typically produce the largest and fastest price moves.
Yes—presenters, nominees, and studio-backed talent have historically been more likely to attend; last-minute absences do occur and are often driven by logistics, health, or public disputes, so traders often weigh both announcement timing and the credibility of sources when assessing outcomes.