| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Fantasy VII Remake #3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Elder Scrolls 6 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Half-Life 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Haunted Chocolatier | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Super Mario Galaxy 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ARK 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Squadron 42 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kingdom Hearts 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Light No Fire | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Halo: Campaign Evolved | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wolverine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ACOTAR 6 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the named video games will have an official consumer release within the applicable calendar period; it matters because release timing affects sales, reviews, and related derivative markets.
Game release timing reflects long development cycles, publisher scheduling priorities, platform certification, and occasional last‑minute delays; in recent years publishers have shifted release windows around major industry events and fiscal reporting deadlines. Market participants should expect movement when studios post development updates, submit rating board filings, or announce firm dates at showcases and investor calls.
Market prices aggregate public and private information about each listed title’s likelihood of shipping this year; they update as new announcements, certification filings, or credible leaks arrive and should be read as dynamic signals rather than fixed forecasts.
Settlement follows the market’s listed outcome text and exchange rules; generally an official commercial release to consumers on the title’s announced platforms within the calendar period is required, while closed betas or limited-region soft launches may only qualify if the outcome wording explicitly includes them—check the market rulebook for the precise definition.
A 'TBD' close means the exchange has not locked the final settlement cutoff publicly; the market remains tradable until the exchange sets the close and accompanying settlement criteria, so watch the market feed and official announcements for the closure date.
Firm release date confirmations, public delay or cancellation notices, rating board disclosures, and developer livestreams showing near‑complete builds usually produce the largest moves; vague rumors or speculative leaks tend to move markets less unless corroborated.
Historically these markets trend toward stability until a publisher provides a firm date or clear delay, at which point prices adjust quickly; outcomes often change markedly around major events (developer showcases, financial reports) and when review keys or storefront preorders appear.
Track official developer and publisher channels (press releases, blogs, social media), platform storefronts and certification portals (Steam, PlayStation, Xbox, Nintendo), rating board databases (ESRB, PEGI), and established gaming journalists and outlets for confirmations and context.