| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folded | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Opalite | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Good Flirts | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| back to friends | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $875 | Trade → |
| Yukon | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $470 | Trade → |
| Tití Me Preguntó | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $379 | Trade → |
| The Great Divide | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $225 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 94% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $141 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Fate of Ophelia | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual songs will occupy the Billboard Hot 100 top 10 for the week of March 7th; outcomes matter because top-10 placement reflects commercial success and influences publicity, radio play, and playlisting.
The Billboard Hot 100 is the industry standard weekly chart for song popularity in the U.S., combining streaming, sales, and radio airplay into a single ranking. Chart positions change week to week as new releases, promotional pushes, viral moments, and radio adds shift consumption patterns; historical context (past chart performance, recent releases, and promotional schedules) helps assess likelihoods. This market has 12 listed candidate outcomes and closes per the exchange’s rules (closing time TBD).
Prediction market odds aggregate participants’ expectations about which songs will be in the top 10 on that chart date; they update as new information—releases, streaming data, radio adds, performances—arrives and should be read as a dynamic consensus signal rather than a fixed forecast.
This market resolves based on the official Billboard Hot 100 chart published for the week of March 7th; the exchange follows its contract terms for the exact resolution timing, so consult the market page or rules for final close and settlement details.
Billboard’s Hot 100 rankings are produced using a combination of U.S. on-demand and programmed streaming, digital and physical sales, and radio airplay measured over the chart’s reporting period; Billboard’s published methodology and its data partners describe the specific collection and weighting.
Prior-week top-10 position indicates existing consumption and airplay momentum, but retention depends on sustaining streaming, sales, and airplay versus competitors and any new releases or promotional events that week; look for trends in each component rather than relying solely on last week’s rank.
Yes—events that generate substantial streaming, sales, or radio activity during Billboard’s reporting period can alter the top 10, but their impact depends on timing relative to the tracking week and whether the activity is credited to the song/artist in Billboard’s tabulation.
Billboard generally combines activity from multiple versions of the same song when the versions are substantially the same and are credited to the same primary artist; a remix that is credited and materially drives additional consumption can therefore affect the song’s combined performance on the Hot 100.