| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DtMF | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $86K | Trade → |
| back to friends | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Fever Dream | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Folded | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Risk It All | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Tití Me Preguntó | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Cha Cha Cha | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Opalite | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Fate of Ophelia | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| The Great Divide | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $510 | Trade → |
| Good Flirts | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $233 | Trade → |
| Yukon | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $79 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific songs will appear in Billboard's Hot 100 top 10 for the chart dated March 14th. Top-10 placement is a key indicator of commercial and cultural momentum and influences promotion, radio support, and industry recognition.
The Billboard Hot 100 is compiled weekly from a combination of streaming activity, digital and physical sales, and radio airplay; the relative importance of these inputs has shifted in recent years as streaming and social-driven virality have grown. Release timing, remixes, playlist placement, and coordinated promotional pushes can produce rapid moves on the chart. This market aggregates traders' expectations about which titles Billboard will list in the published top 10 for that chart date.
Market odds represent the consensus view of which songs traders expect Billboard to publish in its official top 10 for the March 14th chart and will update as new information arrives. The event settles to Billboard's official published Hot 100 top 10 for that chart date.
Billboard uses a defined tracking week for sales and streaming (typically a one-week window ending mid-week) and a comparable window for radio audience data; songs' activity during that tracking week determines placement on the chart dated March 14th.
Settlement follows Billboard's official, final published Hot 100 for the March 14th chart date as posted by Billboard; if Billboard issues a formal correction, the platform's settlement rules will use the final published list.
Billboard typically aggregates versions of the same song when they are designated as the same title or when credits are combined; for this market, the entry will follow Billboard's official song title and credited artist(s) as shown on the published chart.
The market outcome uses Billboard's published entries exactly as listed (song title plus credited artist); identical titles by different performers appear separately only if Billboard lists them separately.
Major new releases or surprise drops, high-profile remixes or featured-artist additions, viral social-media trends or challenges, prominent playlist placements, large promotional campaigns, and televised or award-show performances are among the most impactful events.