| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozzy Lusth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christian Hubicki | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mike White | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cirie Fields | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamilla Karthigesu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rizo Velovic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Emily Flippen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rick Devens | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jonathan Young | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Genevieve Mushaluk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Hunter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tiffany Nicole Ervin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chrissy Hofbeck | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Angelina Keeley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dee Valladares | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colby Donaldson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aubry Bracco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charlie Davis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Benjamin “Coach” Wade | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which participant(s) will be eliminated in Season 50 Episode 4 of the show. It matters to traders and fans because eliminations change competitive dynamics and are typically information-light until the episode airs.
Seasonal elimination markets reflect structured competition formats where contestants face periodic judging or voting, and outcomes are decided on the episode air date or official announcement. Previous seasons can show patterns—such as double eliminations, immunity twists, or judge-driven picks—but each season and episode can introduce new rules or surprises. The event page and official show communications are the authoritative sources for final resolution.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which named contestant(s) the market will settle on after official results are released. Use the market as a real-time aggregation of available signals (editing, previews, historical patterns), but verify final outcomes against the episode or producers' official statement.
Each listed outcome corresponds to a specific participant named on the market and indicates whether that participant is among those officially eliminated in Season 50 Episode 4, as determined by the show's official results.
Key drivers include the episode’s challenge(s) and scoring criteria, judges’ or voters’ decisions, any immunity or safety mechanisms in that episode, visible performance in rehearsal or previews, and unforeseen withdrawals or injuries.
The market’s close and resolution are set by the platform and the market page currently lists the close as TBD; the market will typically resolve after the episode airs or after the show issues an official elimination announcement—check the event page and KALSHI’s resolution notes for updates.
Settlement will follow the market statement and KALSHI’s published resolution policy: outcomes will be marked true based on the official list of eliminated participants as specified by the producers; if Episode 4 includes atypical mechanics, the market description and platform rules explain how those are handled.
Useful history includes whether Season 50 or past seasons used double eliminations, non-elimination episodes, frequent judge overrides, or heavy producer-driven narrative edits; those patterns help interpret how likely certain contestants are to be targeted in mid-season eliminations.