| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Yan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| GCR | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Wynn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesse Pollak | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brian Armstrong | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arthur Hayes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sam Bankman-Fried | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DegenPing | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ansem | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Martin Shkreli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barron Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of a set of named individuals will appear as guests on the UpOnly podcast at any time through the end of 2027. It matters because guest lineups signal editorial direction, industry relationships, and future content that can influence listener and market sentiment.
UpOnly is a high-profile podcast in the crypto/finance/tech space whose guest bookings attract attention from investors, creators, and the crypto community. Guest appearances are driven by editorial choices, guest availability, and broader industry developments; high-profile bookings can amplify narratives or introduce new perspectives to the audience. This market aggregates bettors’ expectations about which specific named guests will actually appear on the show before the cutoff.
Market odds reflect the crowd’s collective assessment of whether each named individual will appear by the stated deadline; they update as announcements, scheduling news, and other information arrive. Odds should be read as dynamic signals of expectation rather than guarantees of outcomes.
An appearance counts when an episode or segment featuring the named guest is publicly released on UpOnly’s official channels (audio/video upload or the podcast feed) on or before December 31, 2027; pre-recorded but unreleased recordings do not count until publicly released.
Yes—any on-record, publicly released segment in which the named individual participates as a guest or contributor on an official UpOnly episode counts, including brief cameos or multi-guest panels, provided the appearance is verifiable.
Only the actual released episode matters: a scheduled but cancelled appearance does not count; a replacement only counts if the replaced person themselves appears in a released episode by the cutoff.
Verification typically relies on the episode being posted to UpOnly’s official podcast feed or channels, time-stamped uploads, episode metadata, and credible host or guest announcements; screenshots or third-party clips can support verification but official releases are decisive.
Announcements increase the likelihood of an appearance but don’t guarantee it; because the market outcome hinges on a public release by the cutoff date, traders should weigh the strength of confirmation, scheduling signals, and historical reliability of similar announcements.