| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One Battle After Another | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sinners | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sentimental Value | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frankenstein | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marty Supreme | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hamnet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which single film will win the largest number of Academy Awards (Oscars) at the upcoming ceremony; it matters because it aggregates public and expert expectations about awards-season outcomes and studio campaign effectiveness.
The market lists six candidate films and reflects betting interest around awards-season frontrunners; trading volume to date shows participant engagement but can change as new information arrives. Historically, a film that leads in major-category nominations and wins key precursor awards often ends up with the most Oscars, though surprises and ties are possible. Closing time is listed as TBD, and settlement will follow the official Academy results once the ceremony concludes and winners are confirmed.
Market prices and trading activity are collective signals of how participants rate each film's chances and will update as new information (nominations, wins, campaign developments) becomes public; treat them as evolving indicators, not guarantees.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; settlement will occur after the official Academy Awards winners are announced and verified according to the event's resolution rules on the platform.
Each of the six outcomes corresponds to a specific film named on the event page; the winning outcome will be the film (or films, if rules allow) that finishes with the highest number of competitive Academy Awards at the ceremony.
Tie resolution follows the market's official rules: some markets pay out to all tied winning outcomes while others use a predefined tie-breaking rule—check the event's resolution policy on the platform for this market's exact procedure.
Only competitive Academy Award statuettes specified in the market's resolution rules count toward the total; honorary or lifetime awards are typically excluded unless the event explicitly states otherwise.
Precursor awards provide information about momentum and voting trends and often shift market expectations, but they do not determine the outcome; treat them as influential signals that the market will incorporate alongside nominations and other developments.