| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ireland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Netherlands | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Slovenia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Spain | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Belgium | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Finland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iceland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Croatia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Estonia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Italy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portugal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kazakhstan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| North Macedonia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Poland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which countries will officially participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026; it matters because entries affect broadcasting schedules, national selection processes, and market expectations for broadcasters and fans.
Eurovision participation is governed by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and requires an eligible, accredited national broadcaster to submit and support an entry. Past contests have seen countries withdraw or be absent for reasons such as financial constraints, broadcaster decisions, EBU membership changes, or political/sanctions-related actions; those same categories drive uncertainty entering 2026.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which broadcasters will submit entries and which the EBU will accept; they are not official confirmations and will move as national broadcasters and the EBU publish firm decisions.
The EBU typically releases an official participation list several months before the contest after national broadcasters confirm entries; this market will settle based on the official source and deadline specified by the market operator, so watch both EBU announcements and the market rules for the settlement date.
Official participation generally means an eligible national broadcaster has submitted an entry that the EBU has accepted for the 2026 contest and is listed on the EBU's official participation roster used by the market for settlement.
Yes — countries have been added or withdrawn historically up until the EBU's final deadlines; any late changes will affect this market only if they occur before the market's stated settlement cutoff or according to the market operator's resolution rules.
Common causes include broadcaster budget cuts or insolvency, voluntary withdrawal due to scheduling or domestic events, EBU suspensions or membership disputes, and occasionally political sanctions or security concerns that prevent participation.
Monitor official statements from national public broadcasters, EBU press releases, government budget decisions affecting broadcasters, host-city or host-broadcaster capacity reports, and reliable media reporting of last-minute withdrawals or reinstatements.