| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jersey Mike's | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Beast Industries | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kraken | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Medline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Vanta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Celonis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Deel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mistral AI | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ripple Labs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Skims | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anduril | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ramp | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Databricks | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stripe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anthropic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cerebras | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Applied Intuition | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| OpenAI | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brex | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Discord | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rippling | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Glean | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anysphere (Cursor) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| xAI | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SpaceX | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Airwallex | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shein | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Plaid | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific companies will officially announce an initial public offering (IPO) during the stated calendar year. It matters because outcomes reflect real-time expectations about the IPO pipeline and corporate decisions that affect investors, employees, and capital markets.
IPO activity typically moves in cycles tied to broader market sentiment, interest rates, and access to private capital; strong markets and low rates encourage listings while volatility and tight financing delay them. Company-specific readiness (profitability, governance, growth narrative) and underwriter appetite also shape the timing and frequency of IPO announcements. Regulatory developments and notable recent IPOs or withdrawals can shift the pipeline quickly.
Market prices/odds aggregate traders' views and incoming information about each company's likelihood of announcing an IPO; they update continuously as news arrives. Treat them as a consensus signal rather than a guaranteed prediction — they are useful for tracking shifts in expectations and identifying which names the market is watching most closely.
For this event, an official announcement is a public, verifiable declaration that a company intends to pursue an IPO — typically a press release or a publicly available registration filing (for example, an S-1 that becomes public). Private or confidential regulatory filings that are not publicly disclosed generally do not count until the company or regulator makes the filing public.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific company selected by the market creator; the outcome resolves depending on whether that named company publicly announces an IPO within the defined calendar year. The list reflects names the market expects to be active in the current IPO pipeline, not an exhaustive universe of possible IPOs.
'This year' refers to the calendar year specified by the event listing (usually Jan 1–Dec 31 of the current year). Because the market close is TBD, trades may continue until the market operator sets a closing time; resolution will occur after the end of the calendar year when public announcements can be verified according to the market's resolution rules.
Resolution depends on the event definition: if a company becomes publicly listed through a SPAC merger or reverse takeover without a traditional registration filing, whether that counts will be determined by the market's stated criterion for an 'official IPO announcement.' In ambiguous cases (mergers, acquisitions, or materially changed transactions), the market operator will follow its resolution guidelines and public documentation to decide.
Confidential filings that are not publicly disclosed do not usually count as official announcements. Only public disclosure — an official press release or a registration statement made publicly available — is typically treated as an announcement for resolution. Leaks or unofficial reports may influence market prices but are not generally used as final verification.