| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before 2027 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before July | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks when Tim Cook will leave his role as Apple CEO, aggregating trader expectations about the timing of his departure. The outcome matters because a CEO transition at Apple would affect succession planning, strategy and investor views on the company’s future.
Tim Cook became Apple’s CEO in 2011 and has led the company through major product cycles, services expansion, and significant growth. Apple’s board, internal succession planning and a stable senior leadership team all shape the context for any potential transition. Media coverage, regulatory developments, and unexpected personal or health events have historically been the catalysts for accelerated timetables in executive transitions at large public companies.
Market prices are a real-time, collective snapshot of trader beliefs about the timing of Cook’s departure and update as new information appears. Use prices as a dynamic indicator of market sentiment rather than a definitive prediction of timing.
Outcomes are arranged as mutually exclusive timing windows (for example ranges by year or specified date cutoffs) that resolve when Cook leaves his role; check the market page for the exact labels because markets often use date ranges or 'after' cutoffs.
Watch Tim Cook’s speeches and interviews, Apple press releases, SEC filings (including proxy statements), sudden senior executive departures or promotions, well-sourced media reports, and any health or board-related disclosures.
This market shows a closing time of TBD; the platform will display the live close time and any changes. Closing affects your ability to trade before resolution and can concentrate activity around significant news or platform deadlines.
Unless the market explicitly includes cause-specific outcomes, it resolves based solely on the timing of departure regardless of reason; if cause matters you should confirm whether separate outcome categories exist on the market page.
Use historical CEO transitions at Apple and comparable large tech companies to inform timelines and likely succession dynamics, but weigh differences in company size, governance, and the presence or absence of an obvious internal successor; combine precedent with current signals from Apple’s board and leadership moves.