| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Feb 21, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Feb 28, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Mar 7, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Mar 14, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Mar 28, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Mar 21, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Feb 14, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Feb 7, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks when BTS will release a new song; it aggregates participant expectations about the timing of the group's next official musical release. The outcome matters to fans, music industry watchers, and traders monitoring catalyst-driven moves in entertainment markets.
BTS debuted in 2013 and established a pattern of regular group releases, but recent years have included individual members' solo projects, mandatory military service in South Korea, and strategic pauses. Their label (HYBE/BigHit) controls official scheduling, and releases often follow coordinated promotional plans, tour calendars, and global marketing strategies.
In this context, market prices represent the collective assessment of when a new BTS song is most likely to appear and will move as new public information arrives. Treat those prices as a dynamic signal of market sentiment rather than a fixed prediction; they update with announcements, leaks, and schedule changes.
Check the market's resolution rules: typically it means an official commercial release credited to BTS as a group on recognized platforms (digital stores/streaming services) and announced by their label; solo, feature, or unofficial releases may be excluded if the market definition specifies so.
Mandatory military service can limit group activities while individual members serve, so markets factor in service schedules and staggered returns; a full-group release is more likely when enough members are available and promotional logistics are feasible.
Look for label teasers, official social media countdowns, pre-save/pre-order pages, registration of trademarks, scheduled performances on major shows or award ceremonies, and coordinated press statements from HYBE or associated partners.
Yes—surprise releases still count if they meet the market's official definition (platform, artist credit, and timing). Markets update rapidly on such events, so settlement depends on the documented release timestamp used by the market operator.
Releases are often timed to maximize promotional reach, so BTS may align songs with tour legs, festival appearances, or market-specific campaigns; gaps between tour legs or pre-tour periods are common windows for new releases.