| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| More than $60 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| More than $70 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| More than $80 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| More than $90 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| More than $100 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price band Grand Theft Auto VI will carry on the PS5 at launch; it matters because the launch price affects consumer adoption, retailer strategies, and secondary market behavior.
Grand Theft Auto is a flagship franchise whose release pricing choices are closely watched by gamers, retailers, and investors; publishers and platform holders decide pricing strategies based on edition types, launch timing, and competitive context. The market captures collective expectations about Rockstar/Take-Two and PlayStation Store decisions amid ongoing industry trends such as premium editions, regional pricing, and digital-first distribution.
Market odds reflect the evolving consensus about which price outcome is most likely given current information; they move as new announcements, leaks, or retailer listings change the perceived likelihood of each price band.
The market's close time is listed as TBD on the contract page; KALSHI will publish the official close and resolution timing there. Monitor the event page and any platform announcements for updates.
Resolution follows the contract's explicit criteria, which typically specify whether the reference is the publisher's announced base MSRP, the PlayStation Store listing, or another defined source, and whether taxes or regional adjustments are included; always check the event's resolution text for the exact ruling.
Primary decision-makers are Rockstar Games and Take-Two (the publisher), with PlayStation Store listing policies and major retailers influencing visible price points through pre-order listings and bundle deals.
Major drivers include an official MSRP announcement or pre-order page, confirmed edition breakdowns (standard vs premium/collector), credible retailer leaks, a change in release window, and significant regional pricing disclosures or platform exclusives.
Historically, Rockstar's flagship releases have launched at full AAA pricing for base editions and offered higher-priced special or collector's editions; later discounts, bundles, or remasters have altered effective prices over time, so consider both initial MSRP strategy and post-launch pricing lifecycle when evaluating outcomes.