| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above 3.8 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above 4.0 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above 4.2 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above 4.4 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above 4.6 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above 4.8 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above 3.6 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which outcome will be true for Uber trips in Q1 and matters because trips are a core activity metric that drives revenue, investor sentiment, and operational planning.
Uber reports trip activity each quarter as part of its regular disclosures; those figures capture core mobility demand and can diverge with changes in rider behavior, pricing, or driver availability. Over recent years trip volumes have been shaped by seasonality, macroeconomic conditions, competition, regulatory developments, and company initiatives like promotions and product changes.
Market prices aggregate traders' beliefs about which outcome will occur and update as new information arrives; they are a real‑time consensus signal, not a guarantee, and should be interpreted alongside official company disclosures and other data.
It resolves based on the specific trip metric and scope defined in the contract on the event page—typically Uber's reported trips for the company or a defined geography in Q1. Consult the market rules on the event page to confirm the precise definition and any inclusions/exclusions.
This market offers six mutually exclusive outcomes that partition possible reported results (for example, ranges or discrete buckets). Each trader selects the outcome they believe will be true; only the single outcome that matches the official disclosure will resolve as correct per the contract terms.
'Closes: TBD' means the exchange has not yet set a firm trading close; resolution will occur after Uber's official Q1 disclosure per the contract's settlement rules. The event page or exchange will announce the closing schedule and resolution timeline once determined.
Resolution typically relies on Uber's public, authoritative disclosures referenced in the market rules—such as an earnings release, shareholder letter, or SEC filing. The event contract specifies which document and data field are authoritative, so check that section for the exact source.
Announcements that could move prices include pre‑quarter guidance updates or traffic metrics from Uber, changes to driver incentive programs, material marketing campaigns, partnerships affecting demand, regulatory decisions in major markets, and any operational disruptions that alter expected trip counts.